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Chernomorets 1919 vs CSKA Sofia II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga efbet Arena, Burgas
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Zhivkov R.
38'
Zhivkov R.
46'
Sub
Tsonev M. In: Stefanov S.
Out: Tsonev M.

AI Match Summary

CSKA Sofia II in this Vtora liga matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CSKA Sofia II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Chernomorets 1919
30%
Draws
37%
CSKA Sofia II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CSKA Sofia II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • CSKA Sofia II have won more games recently than Chernomorets 1919.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Chernomorets 1919 Clean Sheet 13%
CSKA Sofia II Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernomorets 1919 CSKA Sofia II
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.45 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Vtora liga
Chernomorets 1919 vs CSKA Sofia II
0:1
Mar 15, 2026 Vtora liga
Chernomorets 1919 vs CSKA Sofia II
3:0
Sep 6, 2025 Vtora liga
CSKA Sofia II vs Chernomorets 1919
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chernomorets 1919 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

CSKA Sofia II Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhivkov R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernomorets 1919 35 / 100
CSKA Sofia II 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernomorets 1919 CSKA Sofia II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Sofia II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chernomorets 1919 scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

CSKA Sofia II has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Chernomorets 1919 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chernomorets 1919 VS CSKA Sofia II
2.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Chernomorets 1919

(Home)
31 Oct
Nesebar
1 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
23 Oct
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 1
Svoge
18 Oct
Chernomorets 1919
0 : 4
Botev Plovdiv
10 Oct
Dobrudzha
0 : 3
Chernomorets 1919
04 Oct
Volov Shumen
0 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
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CSKA Sofia II

(Away)
30 Oct
Marek
1 : 3
CSKA Sofia II
23 Oct
CSKA Sofia II
3 : 3
Yantra Gabrovo
10 Oct
Nesebar
0 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
27 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
1 : 0
Svoge
21 Sept
Dobrudzha
1 : 3
CSKA Sofia II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Sofia II 14 8 4 2 29:13 28
2 Chernomorets 1919 14 8 4 2 24:10 28
3 Vihren 14 7 5 2 26:13 26
4 Gorna 14 6 5 3 13:10 23
5 Yantra Gabrovo 14 7 2 5 19:14 23
6 Fratria 13 6 4 3 18:12 22
7 Beroe 14 6 3 5 21:18 21
8 Spartak Pleven 14 6 2 6 16:25 20
9 Hebar 14 6 2 6 29:24 20
10 Rilski Sportist 14 5 5 4 15:13 20
11 Etar 13 6 2 5 22:21 20
12 Ludogorets II 13 5 4 4 18:14 19
13 Marek 14 5 3 6 16:18 18
14 Nesebar 14 5 3 6 22:21 18
15 Montana 14 4 2 8 18:29 14
16 Svoge 14 2 6 6 10:15 12
17 Dobrudzha 13 2 3 8 13:26 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 14 0 1 13 5:38 1
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)