Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chernomorets 1919 vs CSKA Sofia II

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga efbet Arena, Burgas
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Zhivkov R.
38'
Zhivkov R.
46'
Sub
Tsonev M. In: Stefanov S.
Out: Tsonev M.

AI Match Summary

CSKA Sofia II in this Vtora liga matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CSKA Sofia II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Chernomorets 1919
20%
Draws
33%
CSKA Sofia II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chernomorets 1919

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • CSKA Sofia II have won more games recently than Chernomorets 1919.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Chernomorets 1919 Clean Sheet 68%
CSKA Sofia II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernomorets 1919 CSKA Sofia II
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 10 16
Draws 9 5
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.15 1.89
Goals Conceded 0.96 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Vtora liga
Chernomorets 1919 vs CSKA Sofia II
0:1
Mar 15, 2026 Vtora liga
Chernomorets 1919 vs CSKA Sofia II
3:0
Sep 6, 2025 Vtora liga
CSKA Sofia II vs Chernomorets 1919
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chernomorets 1919 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

CSKA Sofia II Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhivkov R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernomorets 1919 41 / 100
CSKA Sofia II 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernomorets 1919 CSKA Sofia II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernomorets 1919 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chernomorets 1919 scored in 67% of their last 27 games.

CSKA Sofia II has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Chernomorets 1919 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chernomorets 1919 VS CSKA Sofia II
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chernomorets 1919

(Home)
13 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
07 Sept
Fratria
2 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
02 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
29 Aug
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 3
Chernomorets 1919
23 Aug
Hebar
1 : 0
Chernomorets 1919
Page 1 of 6

CSKA Sofia II

(Away)
13 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
4 : 0
Montana
06 Sept
Etar
1 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
03 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
5 : 1
Spartak Pleven
29 Aug
Fratria
1 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
25 Aug
CSKA Sofia II
1 : 1
Ludogorets II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 9 6 3 0 21:8 21
2 CSKA Sofia II 9 5 2 2 19:8 17
3 Fratria 9 4 4 1 12:7 16
4 Yantra Gabrovo 9 5 1 3 12:9 16
5 Chernomorets 1919 9 4 3 2 12:6 15
6 Beroe 9 4 3 2 12:8 15
7 Etar 9 4 2 3 15:15 14
8 Nesebar 9 4 2 3 16:12 14
9 Marek 9 4 1 4 10:9 13
10 Ludogorets II 9 3 3 3 9:9 12
11 Rilski Sportist 9 3 3 3 10:9 12
12 Gorna 9 3 3 3 8:10 12
13 Hebar 9 3 2 4 18:17 11
14 Montana 9 3 2 4 13:16 11
15 Spartak Pleven 9 3 1 5 10:19 10
16 Svoge 9 1 4 4 4:7 7
17 Dobrudzha 9 1 3 5 9:14 6
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 9 0 0 9 3:30 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)