Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chernomorets 1919 vs Ludogorets II

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga efbet Arena, Burgas
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Santos V.
21'
Nikolov K.
28'
Sub
Lukanov A. In: Todorov I.
Out: Lukanov A.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga game between Chernomorets 1919 and Ludogorets II finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chernomorets 1919.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Chernomorets 1919
30%
Draws
19%
Ludogorets II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chernomorets 1919

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Chernomorets 1919 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Chernomorets 1919's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Chernomorets 1919 Clean Sheet 20%
Ludogorets II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernomorets 1919 Ludogorets II
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 10
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Vtora liga
Chernomorets 1919 vs Ludogorets II
1:0
Apr 16, 2026 Vtora liga
Chernomorets 1919 vs Ludogorets II
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Vtora liga
Ludogorets II vs Chernomorets 1919
4:2
Apr 27, 2024 Vtora liga
Chernomorets 1919 vs Ludogorets II
1:1
Nov 23, 2023 Vtora liga
Ludogorets II vs Chernomorets 1919
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chernomorets 1919 Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Ludogorets II Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernomorets 1919 85 / 100
Ludogorets II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernomorets 1919 Ludogorets II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernomorets 1919 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chernomorets 1919 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Chernomorets 1919 found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Ludogorets II has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Chernomorets 1919 VS Ludogorets II
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chernomorets 1919

(Home)
20 Sept
Etar
2 : 4
Chernomorets 1919
13 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
07 Sept
Fratria
2 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
02 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
29 Aug
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 3
Chernomorets 1919
Page 1 of 6

Ludogorets II

(Away)
21 Sept
Spartak Pleven
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
15 Sept
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Fratria
07 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 3
Ludogorets II
02 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
29 Aug
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Hebar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 10 6 3 1 23:11 21
2 CSKA Sofia II 10 6 2 2 22:9 20
3 Fratria 10 5 4 1 14:8 19
4 Chernomorets 1919 10 5 3 2 16:8 18
5 Rilski Sportist 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
6 Nesebar 10 5 2 3 20:15 17
7 Gorna 11 4 4 3 9:10 16
8 Yantra Gabrovo 10 5 1 4 12:10 16
9 Beroe 10 4 3 3 15:12 15
10 Hebar 10 4 2 4 23:17 14
11 Etar 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
12 Marek 11 4 2 5 11:12 14
13 Spartak Pleven 10 4 1 5 11:19 13
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 10 3 2 5 13:21 11
16 Svoge 10 2 4 4 7:9 10
17 Dobrudzha 10 1 3 6 10:17 6
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 11 0 0 11 4:33 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)