Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chernomorets 1919 vs Rilski Sportist - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga efbet Arena, Burgas
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
10:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chernomorets 1919 host Rilski Sportist in the Vtora liga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Rilski Sportist have shipped 1.04 goals a game lately, while Chernomorets 1919 have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.45. Head-to-head, Chernomorets 1919 have won 1 to Rilski Sportist's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 8, 2006, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.44) point toward Chernomorets 1919. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Chernomorets 1919
30%
Draws
23%
Rilski Sportist
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chernomorets 1919

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Rilski Sportist haven't matched Chernomorets 1919's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Chernomorets 1919 Clean Sheet 16%
Rilski Sportist Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernomorets 1919 Rilski Sportist
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 14 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.45 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2006 B PFG West
Rilski Sportist vs Chernomorets 1919
3:1
Sep 16, 2005 B PFG West
Chernomorets 1919 vs Rilski Sportist
0:0
May 14, 2005 Vtora liga
Rilski Sportist vs Chernomorets 1919
1:0
Nov 14, 2004 Vtora liga
Chernomorets 1919 vs Rilski Sportist
0:1
May 5, 2004 Vtora liga
Chernomorets 1919 vs Rilski Sportist
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernomorets 1919 30 / 100
Rilski Sportist 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernomorets 1919 Rilski Sportist

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernomorets 1919 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chernomorets 1919's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Rilski Sportist let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Chernomorets 1919 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chernomorets 1919 VS Rilski Sportist
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chernomorets 1919

(Home)
31 Oct
Nesebar
1 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
23 Oct
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 1
Svoge
18 Oct
Chernomorets 1919
0 : 4
Botev Plovdiv
10 Oct
Dobrudzha
0 : 3
Chernomorets 1919
04 Oct
Volov Shumen
0 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
Page 1 of 6

Rilski Sportist

(Away)
30 Oct
Rilski Sportist
0 : 0
Vihren
23 Oct
Beroe
3 : 1
Rilski Sportist
17 Oct
Rilski Sportist
2 : 3
Dunav Ruse
10 Oct
Rilski Sportist
0 : 0
Gorna
04 Oct
Zagorets
0 : 4
Rilski Sportist
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Sofia II 14 8 4 2 29:13 28
2 Chernomorets 1919 14 8 4 2 24:10 28
3 Vihren 14 7 5 2 26:13 26
4 Gorna 14 6 5 3 13:10 23
5 Yantra Gabrovo 14 7 2 5 19:14 23
6 Fratria 13 6 4 3 18:12 22
7 Beroe 14 6 3 5 21:18 21
8 Spartak Pleven 14 6 2 6 16:25 20
9 Hebar 14 6 2 6 29:24 20
10 Rilski Sportist 14 5 5 4 15:13 20
11 Etar 13 6 2 5 22:21 20
12 Ludogorets II 13 5 4 4 18:14 19
13 Marek 14 5 3 6 16:18 18
14 Nesebar 14 5 3 6 22:21 18
15 Montana 14 4 2 8 18:29 14
16 Svoge 14 2 6 6 10:15 12
17 Dobrudzha 13 2 3 8 13:26 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 14 0 1 13 5:38 1
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)