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Chernomorets Balchik vs Dorostol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East Balchik Stadium, Balchik
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
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AI Match Summary

Chernomorets Balchik host Dorostol in the Third League - North-East. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Dorostol have shipped 2.62 goals a game lately, while Chernomorets Balchik have conceded 0.6 and scored 2.5. Past meetings favor Chernomorets Balchik slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 2.31 vs 0.94, favoring Chernomorets Balchik. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Chernomorets Balchik
15%
Draws
0%
Dorostol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chernomorets Balchik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Dorostol haven't matched Chernomorets Balchik's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Chernomorets Balchik's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chernomorets Balchik have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Chernomorets Balchik Clean Sheet 20%
Dorostol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernomorets Balchik Dorostol
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 23 2
Draws 5 2
Losses 2 25
Goals Scored 2.5 0.69
Goals Conceded 0.6 2.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Dorostol
4:0
Sep 6, 2025 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Chernomorets Balchik
0:3
Apr 17, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Dorostol
2:0
Oct 12, 2024 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Chernomorets Balchik
0:1
Feb 18, 2023 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Chernomorets Balchik
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernomorets Balchik 85 / 100
Dorostol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernomorets Balchik Dorostol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernomorets Balchik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chernomorets Balchik scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Dorostol let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Away concern: Dorostol has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Chernomorets Balchik VS Dorostol
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chernomorets Balchik

(Home)
21 Oct
FK Riltzi
0 : 3
Chernomorets Balchik
18 Oct
Benkovski
2 : 0
Chernomorets Balchik
10 Oct
Chernomorets Balchik
2 : 1
Volov Shumen
03 Oct
Chernomorets Balchik
2 : 3
Etar
26 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
1 : 0
Svetkavitsa 2014
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Dorostol

(Away)
21 Oct
Dorostol
0 : 1
Septemvri Tervel
17 Oct
Dorostol
0 : 1
Septemvri Dragoevo
10 Oct
Ustrem Donchevo
4 : 3
Dorostol
03 Oct
Dorostol
1 : 2
Fratria II
19 Sept
Devnya 2005
3 : 0
Dorostol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets III 10 8 1 1 25:5 25
2 Volov Shumen 10 7 1 2 29:10 22
3 Chernomorets Balchik 9 6 2 1 15:7 20
4 Svetkavitsa 2014 10 6 1 3 17:11 19
5 Chernolomets 10 5 3 2 22:9 18
6 Septemvri Tervel 8 4 3 1 13:8 15
7 Benkovski 8 4 1 3 16:12 13
8 Botev Novi Pazar 8 3 3 2 14:10 12
9 Devnya 2005 9 4 0 5 10:15 12
10 Cherno More II 9 3 2 4 14:11 11
11 Septemvri Dragoevo 10 3 2 5 13:21 11
12 FK Riltzi 9 3 1 5 10:20 10
13 Olympic Varna 9 3 0 6 16:24 9
14 Fratria II 9 3 0 6 10:26 9
15 Aksakovo 7 2 1 4 15:20 7
16 Ustrem Donchevo 10 2 1 7 19:30 7
17 Dorostol 9 0 0 9 5:24 0
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