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Chernomorets Balchik vs Himik Devnya

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East 2011/2012 game between Chernomorets Balchik and Himik Devnya finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chernomorets Balchik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Chernomorets Balchik
20%
Draws
28%
Himik Devnya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chernomorets Balchik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Chernomorets Balchik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Chernomorets Balchik are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Chernomorets Balchik have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Chernomorets Balchik Clean Sheet 20%
Himik Devnya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernomorets Balchik Himik Devnya
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 26 10
Draws 5 2
Losses 0 18
Goals Scored 2.71 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.52 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2016 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Himik Devnya
3:1
Aug 23, 2015 Third League - North-East
Himik Devnya vs Chernomorets Balchik
0:5
Apr 14, 2013 Third League - North-East
Himik Devnya vs Chernomorets Balchik
0:3
Sep 30, 2012 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Himik Devnya
3:0
May 20, 2012 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Himik Devnya
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernomorets Balchik 85 / 100
Himik Devnya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernomorets Balchik Himik Devnya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernomorets Balchik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chernomorets Balchik found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (31 games).

Himik Devnya let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Chernomorets Balchik stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chernomorets Balchik VS -
3.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chernomorets Balchik

(Home)
12 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
4 : 3
Olympic Varna
05 Sept
Aksakovo
1 : 4
Chernomorets Balchik
29 Aug
Cherno More II
0 : 1
Chernomorets Balchik
22 Aug
Chernolomets
0 : 0
Chernomorets Balchik
30 May
Chernomorets Balchik
3 : 0
Aksakovo
Page 1 of 7

Himik Devnya

(Away)
22 May
Himik Devnya
3 : 0
Dve Mogili
15 May
Kaliakra
7 : 0
Himik Devnya
05 May
Himik Devnya
3 : 0
Benkovski Byala
30 Apr
Marisan
1 : 0
Himik Devnya
24 Apr
Himik Devnya
0 : 0
Kubrat
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shumen 2010 28 19 6 3 69:24 63
2 Dve Mogili 28 19 5 4 75:28 62
3 Suvorovo 27 18 5 4 60:23 59
4 Belitsa 28 14 8 6 51:24 50
5 Septemvri Tervel 28 13 10 5 45:27 49
6 Dunav Ruse 28 12 10 6 48:19 46
7 Chernolomets 28 12 7 9 45:29 43
8 Benkovski Byala 28 13 2 13 52:60 41
9 Himik Devnya 27 11 6 10 33:38 39
10 Chernomorets Balchik 28 10 6 12 43:34 36
11 Chernomorets Byala 28 8 7 13 40:31 31
12 Preslav 28 7 3 18 24:74 24
13 Rapid Shumen 27 6 4 17 33:57 22
14 Lokomotiv Kaspichan 28 4 3 21 19:88 15
15 Botev Novi Pazar 27 0 2 25 3:84 2
Promotion - B PFG 2012/2013 (Main)