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Chernomorets Balchik vs Provadia

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East 2013/2014 game between Chernomorets Balchik and Provadia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Provadia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Chernomorets Balchik
15%
Draws
16%
Provadia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chernomorets Balchik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Chernomorets Balchik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Chernomorets Balchik taking it.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Chernomorets Balchik Clean Sheet 20%
Provadia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernomorets Balchik Provadia
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 25 4
Draws 5 1
Losses 1 25
Goals Scored 2.77 1
Goals Conceded 0.52 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2015 Third League - North-East
Provadia vs Chernomorets Balchik
1:6
Nov 23, 2014 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Provadia
8:2
May 23, 2014 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Provadia
1:2
Nov 17, 2013 Third League - North-East
Provadia vs Chernomorets Balchik
1:1
Apr 21, 2013 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Provadia
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernomorets Balchik 85 / 100
Provadia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernomorets Balchik Provadia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernomorets Balchik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chernomorets Balchik found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (31 games).

Provadia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Chernomorets Balchik stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chernomorets Balchik VS -
2.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chernomorets Balchik

(Home)
05 Sept
Aksakovo
1 : 4
Chernomorets Balchik
29 Aug
Cherno More II
0 : 1
Chernomorets Balchik
22 Aug
Chernolomets
0 : 0
Chernomorets Balchik
30 May
Chernomorets Balchik
3 : 0
Aksakovo
23 May
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 4
Chernomorets Balchik
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Provadia

(Away)
23 May
Provadia
1 : 6
Chernomorets Balchik
20 May
Belitsa
4 : 0
Provadia
17 May
Provadia
2 : 1
Dve Mogili
10 May
Shumen 1929
3 : 1
Provadia
06 May
Kubrat
8 : 0
Provadia
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