Sport Picks
Chernomorets Balchik vs Septemvri Tervel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Third League - North-East Balchik Stadium, Balchik 
AI Match Summary
Chernomorets Balchik host Septemvri Tervel in the Third League - North-East. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Septemvri Tervel have shipped 0.73 goals a game lately, while Chernomorets Balchik have conceded 0.6 and scored 2.5. Past meetings favor Chernomorets Balchik slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 13, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.19) point toward Chernomorets Balchik. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Chernomorets Balchik carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Chernomorets Balchik's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chernomorets Balchik | Septemvri Tervel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 26 |
| Wins | 23 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 2.5 | 2.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.6 | 0.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chernomorets Balchik's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Chernomorets Balchik remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Septemvri Tervel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 46% of 26 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Chernomorets Balchik
(Home)Septemvri Tervel
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets III | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24:5 | 22 |
| 2 | Volov Shumen | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 27:9 | 19 |
| 3 | Svetkavitsa 2014 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:11 | 19 |
| 4 | Chernolomets | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21:7 | 18 |
| 5 | Chernomorets Balchik | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 17 |
| 6 | Benkovski | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:11 | 13 |
| 7 | Septemvri Tervel | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:8 | 12 |
| 8 | Cherno More II | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:11 | 11 |
| 9 | Septemvri Dragoevo | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:19 | 11 |
| 10 | Devnya 2005 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:17 | 10 |
| 11 | FK Riltzi | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:17 | 10 |
| 12 | Botev Novi Pazar | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 9 |
| 13 | Olympic Varna | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 16:24 | 9 |
| 14 | Fratria II | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10:26 | 9 |
| 15 | Aksakovo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15:20 | 7 |
| 16 | Ustrem Donchevo | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 19:30 | 7 |
| 17 | Dorostol | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7:22 | 1 |
