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Chernomorets Novorossijsk vs Kuban

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Molteninov I.
50' Event
Own Goal
52' Event
Trialist

AI Match Summary

Chernomorets Novorossijsk host Kuban in the Club Friendly. This one's hard to separate. Kuban have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Chernomorets Novorossijsk have conceded 1.63 and scored 0.88. Head-to-head, Chernomorets Novorossijsk have won 1 to Kuban's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 4, 2026, ending 1:4. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.19, favoring Kuban. Kuban in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
39%
Draws
30%
Kuban
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Chernomorets Novorossijsk demonstrates higher offensive output (0.88 avg goals) than Kuban (0.75 avg goals).
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Club Friendly provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Chernomorets Novorossijsk Clean Sheet 20%
Kuban Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernomorets Novorossijsk Kuban
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Chernomorets Novorossijsk vs Kuban
1:4
Apr 7, 2024 FNL
Chernomorets Novorossijsk vs Kuban
3:0
Oct 28, 2023 FNL
Kuban vs Chernomorets Novorossijsk
2:2
May 4, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Kuban vs Chernomorets Novorossijsk
1:0
Oct 18, 2020 FNL 2 - Group 1
Chernomorets Novorossijsk vs Kuban
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chernomorets Novorossijsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Syshchenko M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Kuban Compare

Top Goalscorer Molteninov I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Trialist
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernomorets Novorossijsk 32 / 100
Kuban 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernomorets Novorossijsk Kuban

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KUB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chernomorets Novorossijsk scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Kuban let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Chernomorets Novorossijsk went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Kuban lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chernomorets Novorossijsk VS Kuban
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%