Sport Picks
Chernomorets Novorossijsk vs SKA Khabarovsk
Russia
FNL 2025/2026 Centralnyy, Novorossiysk 
Match Events
13'
13'
Khubulov A.
16'
16'
Khubulov A.
46'
46'
Sub
Kukharchuk I. In: Tarba Z.
Out: Kukharchuk I.
AI Match Summary
The FNL 2025/2026 game between Chernomorets Novorossijsk and SKA Khabarovsk finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chernomorets Novorossijsk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- SKA Khabarovsk haven't matched Chernomorets Novorossijsk's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular FNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Chernomorets Novorossijsk Clean Sheet 68%
SKA Khabarovsk Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | SKA Khabarovsk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.86 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.71 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 7, 2026 FNL
Chernomorets Novorossijsk vs SKA Khabarovsk
3:0
Sep 21, 2025 FNL
SKA Khabarovsk vs Chernomorets Novorossijsk
1:0
Apr 19, 2025 FNL
Chernomorets Novorossijsk vs SKA Khabarovsk
2:1
Oct 26, 2024 FNL
SKA Khabarovsk vs Chernomorets Novorossijsk
6:1
Mar 10, 2024 FNL
Chernomorets Novorossijsk vs SKA Khabarovsk
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chernomorets Novorossijsk Compare
Top Goalscorer Khubulov A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.43
SKA Khabarovsk Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chernomorets Novorossijsk 42 / 100
SKA Khabarovsk 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chernomorets Novorossijsk SKA Khabarovsk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
SKA Khabarovsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Chernomorets Novorossijsk's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
SKA Khabarovsk lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chernomorets Novorossijsk VS SKA Khabarovsk
0.86 Goals Scored 1.13
1.71 Goals Conceded 1.38
71% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
(Home) 16 May
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
2 : 1 Ural
08 May
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
0 : 2 Chernomorets Novorossijsk
02 May
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
1 : 3 Rodina Moscow
26 Apr
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
0 : 1 Saratov
22 Apr
Neftekhimik
4 : 0 Chernomorets Novorossijsk
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16 May
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
2 : 1 Ural
02 May
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
1 : 3 Rodina Moscow
26 Apr
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
0 : 1 Saratov
11 Apr
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
1 : 2 S. Kostroma
29 Mar
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
1 : 4 R. Volgograd
Page 1 of 4
SKA Khabarovsk
(Away) 20 Jul
R. Volgograd
1 : 0 SKA Khabarovsk
13 Jul
Chelyabinsk
3 : 1 SKA Khabarovsk
04 Jul
SKA Khabarovsk
2 : 2 Veles Moscow
30 Jun
PFC Sochi
4 : 2 SKA Khabarovsk
16 May
SKA Khabarovsk
2 : 0 Neftekhimik
Page 1 of 6
20 Jul
R. Volgograd
1 : 0 SKA Khabarovsk
13 Jul
Chelyabinsk
3 : 1 SKA Khabarovsk
30 Jun
PFC Sochi
4 : 2 SKA Khabarovsk
08 May
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 0 SKA Khabarovsk
26 Apr
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3 : 0 SKA Khabarovsk
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodina Moscow | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:28 | 68 |
| 2 | Fakel Voronezh | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 44:22 | 68 |
| 3 | Ural | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 51:31 | 61 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 47:26 | 56 |
| 5 | Kamaz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 46:34 | 49 |
| 6 | Yenisey | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 37:35 | 49 |
| 7 | S. Kostroma | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 46:41 | 49 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 34:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Torpedo Moscow | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 37:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Chelyabinsk | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 42:40 | 44 |
| 11 | Neftekhimik | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40:41 | 43 |
| 12 | SKA Khabarovsk | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37:45 | 42 |
| 13 | Arsenal Tula | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42:44 | 39 |
| 14 | Ulyanovsk | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:48 | 37 |
| 15 | Ufa | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:40 | 37 |
| 16 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37:49 | 35 |
| 17 | Saratov | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 16:44 | 26 |
| 18 | FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:76 | 22 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)