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Chernomorets Sevastopol vs Kyzyltash

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea) 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Popov N.
37'
Strelov I.
38' Event
Memeshev R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Kyzyltash in this Premier League (Crimea) 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kyzyltash.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Chernomorets Sevastopol
39%
Draws
30%
Kyzyltash
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Chernomorets Sevastopol haven't matched Kyzyltash's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Premier League (Crimea) 2023 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Kyzyltash have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Chernomorets Sevastopol Clean Sheet 10%
Kyzyltash Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernomorets Sevastopol Kyzyltash
Matches Played 25 35
Wins 7 21
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 3 0.5
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2023 Premier League (Crimea)
Chernomorets Sevastopol vs Kyzyltash
1:3
Aug 19, 2023 Premier League (Crimea)
Kyzyltash vs Chernomorets Sevastopol
1:1
Jun 4, 2023 Premier League (Crimea)
Kyzyltash vs Chernomorets Sevastopol
3:1
Apr 23, 2023 Premier League (Crimea)
Chernomorets Sevastopol vs Kyzyltash
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chernomorets Sevastopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Popov N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Kyzyltash Compare

Top Goalscorer Berezov G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernomorets Sevastopol 30 / 100
Kyzyltash 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernomorets Sevastopol Kyzyltash

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KYZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Chernomorets Sevastopol's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Kyzyltash has conceded goals in 66% of their last 35 outings.

Chernomorets Sevastopol went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chernomorets Sevastopol VS Kyzyltash
0 Goals Scored 1.75
3 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%