Sport Picks

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Cherry Orchard vs Longford

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2012
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
77' Event

AI Match Summary

Cherry Orchard in this FAI Cup 2012 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Cherry Orchard
20%
Draws
51%
Longford
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Longford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Longford have won more games recently than Cherry Orchard.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Longford arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cherry Orchard, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cherry Orchard Clean Sheet 15%
Longford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherry Orchard Longford
Matches Played 21 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.57 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2012 FAI Cup
Cherry Orchard vs Longford
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherry Orchard 35 / 100
Longford 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherry Orchard Longford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Longford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cherry Orchard scored in 81% of their last 21 outings.

Longford let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Cherry Orchard went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Longford
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherry Orchard

(Home)
26 Sept
Firhouse
3 : 3
Cherry Orchard
22 Apr
North End United
2 : 0
Cherry Orchard
28 Apr
Bangor Celtic
3 : 2
Cherry Orchard
21 May
Cobh Ramblers
2 : 1
Cherry Orchard
24 Apr
Cherry Orchard
1 : 0
Killester Donnycarney
Page 1 of 5

Longford

(Away)
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Longford
12 Sept
Longford
0 : 2
Treaty United
05 Sept
Longford
0 : 1
Kerry
28 Aug
Cobh Ramblers
2 : 2
Longford
22 Aug
Longford
4 : 2
Bray
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Derry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Finn Harps -
Phoenix 4
Lucan Utd 3
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Waterford -
TBD -
TBD -
Everton AFC -
Salthill -
TBD -
TBD -
Mervue United -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Limerick -
Athlone -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Cherry Orchard 2
Verona 0
TBD -
Longford -
Bray -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Patricks CY -
Blarney Utd -
TBD -
College Corinthians 1
Malahide United 2
Avondale United 3
Sheriff YC 1
Clonmel Celtic 0
Kildrum Tigers 1
Drumkeen -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians -
Drogheda -
TBD -
Ballymun Utd 1
Mayfield Utd 2
Douglas Hall 2
Killester Donnycarney 1
TBD -
Wexford -
Monaghan United -
TBD -
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Crumlin Utd 1
Kilbarrack Utd 0
TBD -
St. Patricks -
1/16-finals
Derry City 4
Finn Harps 0
Phoenix 1
UC Dublin 3
Waterford 1
Everton AFC 0
Salthill 0
Mervue United 2
Shamrock Rovers 1
Limerick 0
Athlone 1
Cork City 6
Cherry Orchard 2
Longford 0
Bray 1
Shelbourne 2
Dundalk 1
St. Patricks CY 0
Blarney Utd 1
Malahide United 4
Avondale United 3
Kildrum Tigers 1
Drumkeen 0
Bohemians 5
Drogheda 6
Mayfield Utd 1
Douglas Hall 3
Wexford 4
Monaghan United 3
Sligo Rovers 1
Crumlin Utd 0
St. Patricks 3
1/8-finals
Derry City 1
UC Dublin 0
Waterford 0
Mervue United 4
Shamrock Rovers 2
Cork City 0
Cherry Orchard 2
Shelbourne 3
Dundalk 4
Malahide United 0
Avondale United 0
Bohemians 1
Drogheda 1
Wexford 0
Monaghan United -
St. Patricks -
Quarter-finals
Derry City 7
Mervue United 1
Shamrock Rovers 1
Shelbourne 2
Dundalk 1
Bohemians 0
Drogheda 1
St. Patricks 2
Semi-finals
Derry City 4
Shelbourne 1
Dundalk 0
St. Patricks 3
Final
Derry City 3
St. Patricks 2