Sport Picks
Chertsey Town vs Basingstoke - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Southern League Premier South 
Match Events
15'
15'
Okine-Peters J.
39'
39'
Armsworth S.
45'
45'
Farruch L.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier South game between Chertsey Town and Basingstoke finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chertsey Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
69%
15%
16%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chertsey Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
69%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Chertsey Town come out ahead of Basingstoke on wins alone.
- Chertsey Town are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Chertsey Town have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Chertsey Town Clean Sheet 18%
Basingstoke Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chertsey Town | Basingstoke |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 5 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.17 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 31, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Basingstoke
4:3
Mar 7, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Basingstoke
4:2
Oct 14, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Chertsey Town
2:1
Mar 8, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Chertsey Town
1:3
Nov 12, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Basingstoke
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chertsey Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Farruch L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Casey E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Basingstoke Compare
Top Goalscorer Okine-Peters J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Armsworth S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chertsey Town 85 / 100
Basingstoke 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chertsey Town Basingstoke
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chertsey Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chertsey Town found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).
Basingstoke has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 4.60 goals.
Solid form: Chertsey Town remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Chertsey Town VS Basingstoke
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Chertsey Town
(Home) 03 Nov
Bracknell Town
1 : 2 Chertsey Town
31 Oct
Chertsey Town
4 : 3 Basingstoke
27 Oct
Poole Town
2 : 2 Chertsey Town
24 Oct
Takeley
0 : 4 Chertsey Town
20 Oct
Chertsey Town
2 : 0 Evesham
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Chertsey Town
4 : 3 Basingstoke
20 Oct
Chertsey Town
2 : 0 Evesham
10 Oct
Chertsey Town
2 : 2 Chippenham Town
29 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 3 Poole Town
19 Sept
Chertsey Town
3 : 2 A.F.C. Greenwich Borough
Page 1 of 4
Basingstoke
(Away) 31 Oct
Chertsey Town
4 : 3 Basingstoke
27 Oct
Basingstoke
0 : 2 Uxbridge
24 Oct
Basingstoke
2 : 0 Plymouth Parkway
17 Oct
Gosport Borough
4 : 0 Basingstoke
13 Oct
Havant & Waterlooville
4 : 1 Basingstoke
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Chertsey Town
4 : 3 Basingstoke
17 Oct
Gosport Borough
4 : 0 Basingstoke
13 Oct
Havant & Waterlooville
4 : 1 Basingstoke
29 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 1 Basingstoke
26 Sept
Poole Town
1 : 0 Basingstoke
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uxbridge | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 28:11 | 32 |
| 2 | Poole Town | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 27:16 | 31 |
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 31:18 | 30 |
| 4 | Plymouth Parkway | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 32:19 | 29 |
| 5 | Bath City | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 20:10 | 29 |
| 6 | Chertsey Town | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 33:24 | 26 |
| 7 | Chichester City | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 27:25 | 25 |
| 8 | Gosport Borough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25:20 | 24 |
| 9 | Wimborne | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:9 | 22 |
| 10 | Taunton Town | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 32:26 | 19 |
| 11 | Frome Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22:19 | 19 |
| 12 | Berkhamsted Town | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | 18 |
| 13 | Sholing | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18:20 | 16 |
| 14 | Evesham | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 20:32 | 16 |
| 15 | Basingstoke | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:31 | 15 |
| 16 | Hanwell Town | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 18:21 | 14 |
| 17 | Yate | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16:27 | 14 |
| 18 | Bracknell Town | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 17:35 | 14 |
| 19 | Havant & Waterlooville | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 20:32 | 12 |
| 20 | Chippenham Town | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:29 | 12 |
| 21 | Gloucester City | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 17:21 | 11 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 21:38 | 11 |
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
