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Chertsey Town vs Chichester City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Minhas N.
53' Event
Berry D.
63' Event
Pashley B.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South game between Chertsey Town and Chichester City finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chertsey Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Chertsey Town
15%
Draws
35%
Chichester City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chertsey Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chertsey Town come out ahead of Chichester City on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Chertsey Town taking it.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Chertsey Town Clean Sheet 16%
Chichester City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chertsey Town Chichester City
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 15 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2.15 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Chichester City
2:1
Sep 22, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Chichester City vs Chertsey Town
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chertsey Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Minhas N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Berry D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Chichester City Compare

Top Goalscorer Pashley B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chertsey Town 39 / 100
Chichester City 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chertsey Town Chichester City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chertsey Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chertsey Town found the back of the net in 92% of recent matches (26 games).

Chichester City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Chertsey Town went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chertsey Town VS Chichester City
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chertsey Town

(Home)
10 Nov
Chertsey Town
2 : 1
Chichester City
03 Nov
Bracknell Town
1 : 2
Chertsey Town
31 Oct
Chertsey Town
4 : 3
Basingstoke
27 Oct
Poole Town
2 : 2
Chertsey Town
24 Oct
Takeley
0 : 4
Chertsey Town
Page 1 of 6

Chichester City

(Away)
10 Nov
Chertsey Town
2 : 1
Chichester City
07 Nov
Chichester City
2 : 1
Bath City
31 Oct
Frome Town
2 : 3
Chichester City
27 Oct
Chichester City
1 : 2
Hanworth Villa
24 Oct
Gosport Borough
0 : 2
Chichester City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uxbridge 16 11 3 2 33:14 36
2 Poole Town 16 10 2 4 28:17 32
3 Hanworth Villa 16 9 4 3 32:19 31
4 Plymouth Parkway 15 9 2 4 32:19 29
5 Chertsey Town 16 8 5 3 35:25 29
6 Bath City 16 9 2 5 21:15 29
7 Chichester City 17 9 1 7 30:28 28
8 Gosport Borough 16 7 3 6 25:22 24
9 Wimborne 13 6 4 3 22:9 22
10 Taunton Town 14 7 1 6 35:26 22
11 Frome Town 15 5 5 5 24:21 20
12 Berkhamsted Town 14 5 3 6 18:20 18
13 Yate 16 4 6 6 20:28 18
14 Sholing 14 4 5 5 19:21 17
15 Hanwell Town 16 4 5 7 22:26 17
16 Basingstoke 16 4 4 8 25:32 16
17 Chippenham Town 16 4 4 8 18:30 16
18 Evesham 17 5 1 11 21:37 16
19 Gloucester City 14 3 6 5 21:24 15
20 Bracknell Town 17 4 3 10 19:37 15
21 Malvern Town 16 4 2 10 24:41 14
22 Havant & Waterlooville 16 3 3 10 20:33 12
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)