Sport Picks

England

Southern League Premier South

Chertsey Town

2 - 1

Dorchester

Our Tip

Match Events

39'

Parker J.

57'

Abisogun G.

78'

Abisogun G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chertsey Town in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chertsey Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Chertsey Town

Draws

Dorchester

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chertsey Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Chertsey Town have won more games recently than Dorchester.
Chertsey Town are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Chertsey Town Clean Sheet 16%

Dorchester Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chertsey Town	Dorchester
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	15	6
Draws	6	10
Losses	7	14
Goals Scored	1.13	0.88
Goals Conceded	2.13	2.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2026 Southern League Premier South

Chertsey Town vs Dorchester

Possession: 53% - 54% Cards: 0 - 1

2:1

Nov 8, 2025 Southern League Premier South

Dorchester vs Chertsey Town

Possession: 41% - 53% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Mar 15, 2025 Southern League Premier South

Chertsey Town vs Dorchester

Possession: 60% - 50% Cards: 1 - 4

0:1

Sep 21, 2024 Southern League Premier South

Dorchester vs Chertsey Town

Possession: 54% - 58% Cards: 2 - 0

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chertsey Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Abisogun G.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Dorchester Compare

Top Goalscorer Parker J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chertsey Town 84 / 100

Dorchester 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chertsey Town Dorchester

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dorchester has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Chertsey Town found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Chertsey Town stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chertsey Town VS Dorchester

1.13 Goals Scored 0.88

2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25

75% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Walton & Hersham	42	29	5	8	94:42	92
2	Farnham	42	25	9	8	90:50	84
3	Gloucester City	42	25	7	10	93:51	82
4	Poole Town	42	21	12	9	80:50	75
5	Berkhamsted Town	42	21	9	12	62:50	72
6	Sholing	42	18	15	9	74:53	69
7	Chertsey Town	42	19	10	13	64:55	67
8	Gosport Borough	42	19	6	17	74:75	63
9	Uxbridge	42	15	14	13	74:70	59
10	Havant & Waterlooville	42	17	7	18	78:70	58
11	Plymouth Parkway	42	16	8	18	64:79	56
12	Bracknell Town	42	15	10	17	70:71	55
13	Yate	42	14	10	18	57:62	52
14	Hanwell Town	42	14	10	18	57:63	52
15	Wimborne	42	12	15	15	63:62	51
16	Taunton Town	42	14	9	19	65:70	51
17	Basingstoke	42	14	9	19	61:71	51
18	Evesham	42	11	14	17	51:62	47
19	Weymouth	42	13	8	21	53:71	47
20	Dorchester	42	9	13	20	48:79	40
21	Hungerford	42	9	11	22	47:87	38
22	Tiverton	42	5	3	34	39:115	18