Sport Picks
Chertsey Town vs Malvern Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Southern League Premier South 
Match Events
36'
36'
Casey E.
52'
52'
Farruch L.
65'
65'
Kamara J.
AI Match Summary
Chertsey Town in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chertsey Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chertsey Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Chertsey Town have won more games recently than Malvern Town.
- Model gives Chertsey Town a 65% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Chertsey Town Clean Sheet 16%
Malvern Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chertsey Town | Malvern Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 24 |
| Wins | 15 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.04 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 2.08 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Malvern Town
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chertsey Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Casey E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Farruch L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Malvern Town Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chertsey Town 84 / 100
Malvern Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chertsey Town Malvern Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chertsey Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chertsey Town found the back of the net in 92% of recent matches (26 games).
Malvern Town has conceded goals in 83% of their last 24 outings.
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Chertsey Town went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chertsey Town VS Malvern Town
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Chertsey Town
(Home) 03 Oct
Sheppey United
0 : 2 Chertsey Town
29 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 3 Poole Town
26 Sept
Welling
2 : 3 Chertsey Town
22 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 2 Chertsey Town
19 Sept
Chertsey Town
3 : 2 A.F.C. Greenwich Borough
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 3 Poole Town
19 Sept
Chertsey Town
3 : 2 A.F.C. Greenwich Borough
12 Sept
Chertsey Town
5 : 0 Malvern Town
05 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 1 Carshalton
29 Aug
Chertsey Town
1 : 2 Frome Town
Page 1 of 3
Malvern Town
(Away) 29 Sept
Bath City
2 : 1 Malvern Town
26 Sept
Mickleover
2 : 1 Malvern Town
22 Sept
Malvern Town
5 : 2 Gloucester City
12 Sept
Chertsey Town
5 : 0 Malvern Town
07 Sept
Redditch
4 : 0 Malvern Town
Page 1 of 5
29 Sept
Bath City
2 : 1 Malvern Town
26 Sept
Mickleover
2 : 1 Malvern Town
12 Sept
Chertsey Town
5 : 0 Malvern Town
07 Sept
Redditch
4 : 0 Malvern Town
29 Aug
Gosport Borough
4 : 2 Malvern Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poole Town | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 17:12 | 21 |
| 2 | Plymouth Parkway | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Uxbridge | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:8 | 20 |
| 4 | Hanworth Villa | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 19 |
| 5 | Bath City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 17 |
| 6 | Frome Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Taunton Town | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23:22 | 13 |
| 9 | Chichester City | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 10 | Evesham | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 | Berkhamsted Town | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Wimborne | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:4 | 12 |
| 13 | Gosport Borough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Yate | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Bracknell Town | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:18 | 11 |
| 16 | Sholing | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 18 | Hanwell Town | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 19 | Gloucester City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12:17 | 7 |
| 20 | Chippenham Town | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:16 | 7 |
| 21 | Havant & Waterlooville | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:16 | 5 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13:25 | 5 |
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