Sport Picks
Chertsey Town vs Tiverton
England
Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 
Match Events
1'
1'
Jagger Cane L.
12'
12'
McCoy O.
18'
18'
Koita D.
AI Match Summary
Chertsey Town in this Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chertsey Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chertsey Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Chertsey Town lately — more wins on the board than Tiverton.
- Model gives Chertsey Town a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Chertsey Town here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Chertsey Town Clean Sheet 20%
Tiverton Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chertsey Town | Tiverton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 3.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 3.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 10, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Tiverton
4:3
Aug 9, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Tiverton vs Chertsey Town
0:2
Dec 28, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Tiverton
2:2
Aug 17, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Tiverton vs Chertsey Town
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chertsey Town Compare
Top Goalscorer McCoy O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lee C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Tiverton Compare
Top Goalscorer Jagger Cane L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Koita D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chertsey Town 85 / 100
Tiverton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chertsey Town Tiverton
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chertsey Town found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
Tiverton let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 4.50 goals.
Solid form: Chertsey Town remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Chertsey Town VS Tiverton
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Chertsey Town
(Home) 21 Jul
Chertsey Town
2 : 0 Wealdstone
14 Jul
Egham Town
1 : 4 Chertsey Town
25 Apr
Chertsey Town
1 : 0 Hungerford
18 Apr
Weymouth
5 : 1 Chertsey Town
11 Apr
Chertsey Town
0 : 1 Poole Town
Page 1 of 6
21 Jul
Chertsey Town
2 : 0 Wealdstone
25 Apr
Chertsey Town
1 : 0 Hungerford
11 Apr
Chertsey Town
0 : 1 Poole Town
03 Apr
Chertsey Town
2 : 2 Yate
21 Mar
Chertsey Town
3 : 0 Wimborne
Page 1 of 3
Tiverton
(Away) 18 Jul
Tiverton
2 : 0 Brixham
25 Apr
Tiverton
0 : 3 Farnham
21 Apr
Tiverton
2 : 3 Gosport Borough
18 Apr
Basingstoke
3 : 1 Tiverton
14 Apr
Tiverton
0 : 6 Wimborne
Page 1 of 6
18 Apr
Basingstoke
3 : 1 Tiverton
11 Apr
Bracknell Town
8 : 0 Tiverton
03 Apr
Sholing
2 : 1 Tiverton
14 Mar
Wimborne
0 : 0 Tiverton
28 Feb
Berkhamsted Town
3 : 0 Tiverton
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walton & Hersham | 42 | 29 | 5 | 8 | 94:42 | 92 |
| 2 | Farnham | 42 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 90:50 | 84 |
| 3 | Gloucester City | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 93:51 | 82 |
| 4 | Poole Town | 42 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 80:50 | 75 |
| 5 | Berkhamsted Town | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 62:50 | 72 |
| 6 | Sholing | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 74:53 | 69 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 64:55 | 67 |
| 8 | Gosport Borough | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 74:75 | 63 |
| 9 | Uxbridge | 42 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 74:70 | 59 |
| 10 | Havant & Waterlooville | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 78:70 | 58 |
| 11 | Plymouth Parkway | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 64:79 | 56 |
| 12 | Bracknell Town | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 70:71 | 55 |
| 13 | Yate | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:62 | 52 |
| 14 | Hanwell Town | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:63 | 52 |
| 15 | Wimborne | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 63:62 | 51 |
| 16 | Taunton Town | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 65:70 | 51 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 61:71 | 51 |
| 18 | Evesham | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 51:62 | 47 |
| 19 | Weymouth | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 53:71 | 47 |
| 20 | Dorchester | 42 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 48:79 | 40 |
| 21 | Hungerford | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 47:87 | 38 |
| 22 | Tiverton | 42 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 39:115 | 18 |
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Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)