Sport Picks
Match Events
19'
19'
Ruff C.
36'
36'
Benton J.
56'
56'
Weiss M.
AI Match Summary
Billericay in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Billericay.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Billericay
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Billericay lately — more wins on the board than Chesham.
- 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Chesham have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Chesham Clean Sheet 11%
Billericay Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chesham | Billericay |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 22 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 2.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 8, 2026 National League South
Chesham vs Billericay
1:2
Jul 29, 2025 Club Friendly
Chesham vs Billericay
2:1
Oct 31, 2015 FA Trophy
Billericay vs Chesham
0:2
Sep 26, 2009 FA Cup
Chesham vs Billericay
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chesham Compare
Top Goalscorer Weiss M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Billericay Compare
Top Goalscorer Ruff C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Benton J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chesham 29 / 100
Billericay 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chesham Billericay
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chesham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chesham's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.
Chesham went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Billericay conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Chesham VS Billericay
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Chesham
(Home) 12 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 4 Chesham
08 Sept
Chesham
1 : 2 Billericay
05 Sept
Truro
3 : 1 Chesham
31 Aug
Chesham
2 : 2 Dover Ath.
29 Aug
AFC Totton
0 : 4 Chesham
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Chesham
1 : 2 Billericay
31 Aug
Chesham
2 : 2 Dover Ath.
22 Aug
Chesham
2 : 0 Walton & Hersham
18 Apr
Chesham
0 : 2 Chelmsford
06 Apr
Chesham
4 : 1 Slough Town
Page 1 of 3
Billericay
(Away) 15 Sept
Billericay
3 : 2 Braintree
12 Sept
Maidenhead
2 : 2 Billericay
08 Sept
Chesham
1 : 2 Billericay
05 Sept
Billericay
3 : 3 Dorking Wanderers
31 Aug
Salisbury
1 : 0 Billericay
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Maidenhead
2 : 2 Billericay
08 Sept
Chesham
1 : 2 Billericay
31 Aug
Salisbury
1 : 0 Billericay
22 Aug
Farnham
2 : 4 Billericay
15 Aug
AFC Totton
1 : 0 Billericay
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 19 |
| 2 | Weston-super-Mare | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Dagenham & Red. | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Salisbury | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Billericay | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Tonbridge | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Truro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 8 | Dover Ath. | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Dorking Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Torquay | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 11 | Farnham | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Folkestone | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15:9 | 12 |
| 13 | Chesham | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16:15 | 10 |
| 14 | Chelmsford | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 16 | Hemel Hempstead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 17 | Maidenhead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 18 | Braintree | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:18 | 10 |
| 19 | AFC Totton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | 10 |
| 20 | Farnborough | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 21 | Hampton & Richmond | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:23 | 8 |
| 22 | Ebbsfleet | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 5 |
| 23 | Slough Town | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9:21 | 3 |
| 24 | Walton & Hersham | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:24 | 1 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
