Sport Picks
Chesham vs Billericay - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League South 
Match Events
19'
19'
Ruff C.
36'
36'
Benton J.
56'
56'
Weiss M.
AI Match Summary
Billericay in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Billericay.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Billericay
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Billericay lately — more wins on the board than Chesham.
- Billericay are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
- Chesham have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Chesham Clean Sheet 10%
Billericay Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chesham | Billericay |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 20 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.96 | 2.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.14 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 8, 2026 National League South
Chesham vs Billericay
1:2
Jul 29, 2025 Club Friendly
Chesham vs Billericay
2:1
Oct 31, 2015 FA Trophy
Billericay vs Chesham
0:2
Sep 26, 2009 FA Cup
Chesham vs Billericay
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chesham Compare
Top Goalscorer Weiss M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Billericay Compare
Top Goalscorer Ruff C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Benton J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chesham 10 / 100
Billericay 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chesham Billericay
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Billericay Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.
Chesham's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Billericay let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.
Solid form: Chesham remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Chesham VS Billericay
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Chesham
(Home) 31 Oct
Chesham
2 : 2 Folkestone
27 Oct
Chesham
2 : 4 Farnham
24 Oct
Dagenham & Red.
2 : 0 Chesham
20 Oct
Forest Green
5 : 0 Chesham
17 Oct
Chesham
0 : 0 Forest Green
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Chesham
2 : 2 Folkestone
27 Oct
Chesham
2 : 4 Farnham
17 Oct
Chesham
0 : 0 Forest Green
10 Oct
Chesham
0 : 5 Chelmsford
03 Oct
Chesham
4 : 3 Real Bedford
Page 1 of 3
Billericay
(Away) 31 Oct
Billericay
5 : 0 Hemel Hempstead
27 Oct
Billericay
2 : 2 Hampton & Richmond
10 Oct
Billericay
4 : 0 Farnborough
26 Sept
Billericay
3 : 0 Torquay
19 Sept
Billericay
1 : 3 Enfield Town
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Maidenhead
2 : 2 Billericay
08 Sept
Chesham
1 : 2 Billericay
31 Aug
Salisbury
1 : 0 Billericay
22 Aug
Farnham
2 : 4 Billericay
15 Aug
AFC Totton
1 : 0 Billericay
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ebbsfleet | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 35:10 | 31 |
| 2 | Truro | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27:12 | 30 |
| 3 | Maidstone | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 26:18 | 29 |
| 4 | Salisbury | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25:10 | 28 |
| 5 | Dorking Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 34:23 | 27 |
| 6 | Farnham | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 29:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Billericay | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 32:16 | 25 |
| 8 | Tonbridge | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 27:16 | 24 |
| 9 | Dagenham & Red. | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 13:11 | 24 |
| 10 | Horsham FC | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 21:16 | 22 |
| 11 | Dover Ath. | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:19 | 22 |
| 12 | Chelmsford | 14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 13 | Torquay | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 22:17 | 20 |
| 14 | Folkestone | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:18 | 20 |
| 15 | Weston-super-Mare | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 21:21 | 18 |
| 16 | Farnborough | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 12:31 | 17 |
| 17 | Braintree | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 21:34 | 16 |
| 18 | AFC Totton | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 14:27 | 16 |
| 19 | Maidenhead | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14:19 | 15 |
| 20 | Hemel Hempstead | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14:22 | 15 |
| 21 | Chesham | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 20:32 | 11 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 18:36 | 9 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10:33 | 8 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15:39 | 4 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
