Sport Picks
Chesham vs Dagenham & Red.
England
National League South 2025/2026 The Meadow, Chesham 
Match Events
81'
81'
Lannin-Sweet W.
90'
90'
Young A.
AI Match Summary
Dagenham & Red. in this National League South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dagenham & Red..
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dagenham & Red.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Chesham lately — more wins on the board than Dagenham & Red..
- Dagenham & Red. are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Chesham Clean Sheet 12%
Dagenham & Red. Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chesham | Dagenham & Red. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 24, 2026 National League South
Chesham vs Dagenham & Red.
0:1
Nov 25, 2025 National League South
Dagenham & Red. vs Chesham
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chesham Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Dagenham & Red. Compare
Top Goalscorer Lannin-Sweet W.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chesham 27 / 100
Dagenham & Red. 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chesham Dagenham & Red.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick DAG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chesham's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Defensive concern: Dagenham & Red. conceded in 56% of 27 recent games.
Chesham has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Chesham VS Dagenham & Red.
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Chesham
(Home) 08 Aug
Weston-super-Mare
3 : 0 Chesham
28 Jul
Chertsey Town
2 : 1 Chesham
21 Jul
Basingstoke
2 : 6 Chesham
25 Apr
Dover Ath.
2 : 2 Chesham
18 Apr
Chesham
0 : 2 Chelmsford
Page 1 of 6
18 Apr
Chesham
0 : 2 Chelmsford
06 Apr
Chesham
4 : 1 Slough Town
28 Mar
Chesham
1 : 0 Tonbridge
24 Mar
Chesham
1 : 2 Hornchurch
21 Mar
Chesham
4 : 2 Maidstone
Page 1 of 3
Dagenham & Red.
(Away) 08 Aug
Dorking Wanderers
0 : 1 Dagenham & Red.
28 Jul
Dagenham & Red.
1 : 2 Boreham Wood
21 Jul
Dagenham & Red.
5 : 0 Crystal Palace U21
18 Jul
Hashtag
1 : 2 Dagenham & Red.
14 Jul
Hitchin
0 : 2 Dagenham & Red.
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Dorking Wanderers
0 : 1 Dagenham & Red.
18 Jul
Hashtag
1 : 2 Dagenham & Red.
14 Jul
Hitchin
0 : 2 Dagenham & Red.
07 Jul
Hornchurch
0 : 0 Dagenham & Red.
25 Apr
Slough Town
3 : 2 Dagenham & Red.
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Worthing FC | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 99:52 | 84 |
| 2 | Hornchurch | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 81:64 | 81 |
| 3 | Torquay | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 87:62 | 80 |
| 4 | Dorking Wanderers | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 78:61 | 79 |
| 5 | Hemel Hempstead | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 55:48 | 79 |
| 6 | Weston-super-Mare | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 61:48 | 78 |
| 7 | Maidenhead | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 66:41 | 77 |
| 8 | Maidstone | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 72:50 | 77 |
| 9 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 73:54 | 77 |
| 10 | Chelmsford | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 73:62 | 73 |
| 11 | Chesham | 46 | 21 | 9 | 16 | 68:55 | 72 |
| 12 | AFC Totton | 46 | 20 | 6 | 20 | 60:79 | 66 |
| 13 | Dagenham & Red. | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 61:62 | 64 |
| 14 | Tonbridge | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 66:65 | 60 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 53:54 | 59 |
| 16 | Slough Town | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 69:87 | 54 |
| 17 | Salisbury | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 50:65 | 53 |
| 18 | Hampton & Richmond | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 56:72 | 53 |
| 19 | Farnborough | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 72:92 | 53 |
| 20 | Dover Ath. | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 60:75 | 50 |
| 21 | Bath City | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 50:77 | 43 |
| 22 | Chippenham Town | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 53:80 | 42 |
| 23 | Enfield Town | 46 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 55:82 | 40 |
| 24 | Eastbourne Borough | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 59:90 | 36 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
