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Chesham vs Farnham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Mason B.
Own Goal
37' Event
Alexander G.
(Penalty)
41' Event
Mackenzie M.

AI Match Summary

The National League South game between Chesham and Farnham finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Farnham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Chesham
20%
Draws
65%
Farnham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Farnham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Farnham carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Farnham a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Chesham Clean Sheet 10%
Farnham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chesham Farnham
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 2.03 1.79
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2026 National League South
Chesham vs Farnham
2:4
Sep 16, 2023 FA Cup
Farnham vs Chesham
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chesham Compare

Top Goalscorer Weiss M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Farnham Compare

Top Goalscorer Mackenzie M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Obodo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chesham 10 / 100
Farnham 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chesham Farnham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Farnham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Chesham found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Farnham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Chesham has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chesham VS Farnham
1.63 Goals Scored 2.63
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Chesham

(Home)
31 Oct
Chesham
2 : 2
Folkestone
27 Oct
Chesham
2 : 4
Farnham
24 Oct
Dagenham & Red.
2 : 0
Chesham
20 Oct
Forest Green
5 : 0
Chesham
17 Oct
Chesham
0 : 0
Forest Green
Page 1 of 6

Farnham

(Away)
02 Nov
Chelmsford
0 : 2
Farnham
31 Oct
Dover Ath.
1 : 0
Farnham
27 Oct
Chesham
2 : 4
Farnham
24 Oct
Farnham
6 : 0
Braintree
10 Oct
Farnham
1 : 2
Salisbury
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebbsfleet 14 9 4 1 35:10 31
2 Truro 14 9 3 2 27:12 30
3 Maidstone 15 9 2 4 26:18 29
4 Salisbury 14 8 4 2 25:10 28
5 Dorking Wanderers 15 7 6 2 34:23 27
6 Farnham 15 8 2 5 29:19 26
7 Billericay 13 7 4 2 32:16 25
8 Tonbridge 15 7 3 5 27:16 24
9 Dagenham & Red. 15 7 3 5 13:11 24
10 Horsham FC 15 5 7 3 21:16 22
11 Dover Ath. 14 6 4 4 20:19 22
12 Chelmsford 14 4 9 1 21:14 21
13 Torquay 14 5 5 4 22:17 20
14 Folkestone 15 5 5 5 22:18 20
15 Weston-super-Mare 14 5 3 6 21:21 18
16 Farnborough 15 5 2 8 12:31 17
17 Braintree 14 5 1 8 21:34 16
18 AFC Totton 15 5 1 9 14:27 16
19 Maidenhead 15 3 6 6 14:19 15
20 Hemel Hempstead 15 3 6 6 14:22 15
21 Chesham 14 3 2 9 20:32 11
22 Hampton & Richmond 15 2 3 10 18:36 9
23 Walton & Hersham 14 2 2 10 10:33 8
24 Slough Town 15 1 1 13 15:39 4
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)