Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chesham vs Folkestone - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Bennetts J.
74' Event
St Clair-Burton W.
77' Event
Pigott J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Chesham
35%
Draws
52%
Folkestone
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Folkestone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Chesham at 2 per game, Folkestone at 1.67.
  • Model gives Folkestone a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Chesham Clean Sheet 10%
Folkestone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chesham Folkestone
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 2 1.67
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 National League South
Chesham vs Folkestone
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chesham Compare

Top Goalscorer Bennetts J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader St Clair-Burton W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Folkestone Compare

Top Goalscorer Lokko K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chesham 10 / 100
Folkestone 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chesham Folkestone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Folkestone Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Folkestone let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Chesham scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Chesham stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chesham VS Folkestone
1.88 Goals Scored 1
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chesham

(Home)
31 Oct
Chesham
2 : 2
Folkestone
27 Oct
Chesham
2 : 4
Farnham
24 Oct
Dagenham & Red.
2 : 0
Chesham
20 Oct
Forest Green
5 : 0
Chesham
17 Oct
Chesham
0 : 0
Forest Green
Page 1 of 6

Folkestone

(Away)
31 Oct
Chesham
2 : 2
Folkestone
27 Oct
Tonbridge
2 : 0
Folkestone
24 Oct
Folkestone
2 : 0
Farnborough
17 Oct
Folkestone
2 : 1
AFC Totton
10 Oct
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1
Folkestone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Truro 14 9 3 2 27:12 30
2 Maidstone 15 9 2 4 26:18 29
3 Ebbsfleet 13 8 4 1 29:10 28
4 Salisbury 14 8 4 2 25:10 28
5 Farnham 15 8 2 5 29:19 26
6 Billericay 13 7 4 2 32:16 25
7 Tonbridge 15 7 3 5 27:16 24
8 Dorking Wanderers 14 6 6 2 31:21 24
9 Dagenham & Red. 15 7 3 5 13:11 24
10 Horsham FC 15 5 7 3 21:16 22
11 Dover Ath. 14 6 4 4 20:19 22
12 Chelmsford 14 4 9 1 21:14 21
13 Torquay 14 5 5 4 22:17 20
14 Folkestone 15 5 5 5 22:18 20
15 Weston-super-Mare 14 5 3 6 21:21 18
16 Farnborough 14 5 2 7 12:25 17
17 Braintree 14 5 1 8 21:34 16
18 AFC Totton 15 5 1 9 14:27 16
19 Maidenhead 15 3 6 6 14:19 15
20 Hemel Hempstead 15 3 6 6 14:22 15
21 Chesham 14 3 2 9 20:32 11
22 Hampton & Richmond 14 2 3 9 16:33 9
23 Walton & Hersham 14 2 2 10 10:33 8
24 Slough Town 15 1 1 13 15:39 4
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)