Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Yearn K.
37'
37'
Yearn K.
60'
60'
Yila J.
AI Match Summary
The National League South 2025/2026 game between Chesham and Maidstone finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chesham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
15%
67%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maidstone
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ High Confidence
- Maidstone carry the better recent record into this one.
- Maidstone are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular National League South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Chesham Clean Sheet 10%
Maidstone Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chesham | Maidstone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 17 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 2.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 National League South
Chesham vs Maidstone
4:2
Oct 11, 2025 National League South
Maidstone vs Chesham
0:0
Jan 18, 2025 National League South
Chesham vs Maidstone
2:0
Sep 21, 2024 National League South
Maidstone vs Chesham
2:2
Nov 4, 2023 FA Cup
Chesham vs Maidstone
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chesham Compare
Top Goalscorer Yearn K.
4 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Maidstone Compare
Top Goalscorer Yila J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pattisson C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chesham 10 / 100
Maidstone 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chesham Maidstone
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chesham found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).
Maidstone has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Chesham has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Chesham VS Maidstone
1.88 Goals Scored 2.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Chesham
(Home) 28 Jul
Chertsey Town
2 : 1 Chesham
21 Jul
Basingstoke
2 : 6 Chesham
25 Apr
Dover Ath.
2 : 2 Chesham
18 Apr
Chesham
0 : 2 Chelmsford
11 Apr
Bath City
4 : 2 Chesham
Page 1 of 6
18 Apr
Chesham
0 : 2 Chelmsford
06 Apr
Chesham
4 : 1 Slough Town
28 Mar
Chesham
1 : 0 Tonbridge
24 Mar
Chesham
1 : 2 Hornchurch
21 Mar
Chesham
4 : 2 Maidstone
Page 1 of 3
Maidstone
(Away) 01 Aug
Chatham
0 : 3 Maidstone
28 Jul
Maidstone
5 : 0 Brentwood
25 Jul
Maidstone
4 : 0 Ashford United
18 Jul
Ramsgate
1 : 3 Maidstone
11 Jul
Maidstone
4 : 1 Welling
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Chatham
0 : 3 Maidstone
18 Jul
Ramsgate
1 : 3 Maidstone
25 Apr
Bath City
2 : 3 Maidstone
11 Apr
Horsham FC
0 : 0 Maidstone
03 Apr
Dover Ath.
0 : 2 Maidstone
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Worthing FC | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 99:52 | 84 |
| 2 | Hornchurch | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 81:64 | 81 |
| 3 | Torquay | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 87:62 | 80 |
| 4 | Dorking Wanderers | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 78:61 | 79 |
| 5 | Hemel Hempstead | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 55:48 | 79 |
| 6 | Weston-super-Mare | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 61:48 | 78 |
| 7 | Maidenhead | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 66:41 | 77 |
| 8 | Maidstone | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 72:50 | 77 |
| 9 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 73:54 | 77 |
| 10 | Chelmsford | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 73:62 | 73 |
| 11 | Chesham | 46 | 21 | 9 | 16 | 68:55 | 72 |
| 12 | AFC Totton | 46 | 20 | 6 | 20 | 60:79 | 66 |
| 13 | Dagenham & Red. | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 61:62 | 64 |
| 14 | Tonbridge | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 66:65 | 60 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 53:54 | 59 |
| 16 | Slough Town | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 69:87 | 54 |
| 17 | Salisbury | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 50:65 | 53 |
| 18 | Hampton & Richmond | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 56:72 | 53 |
| 19 | Farnborough | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 72:92 | 53 |
| 20 | Dover Ath. | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 60:75 | 50 |
| 21 | Bath City | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 50:77 | 43 |
| 22 | Chippenham Town | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 53:80 | 42 |
| 23 | Enfield Town | 46 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 55:82 | 40 |
| 24 | Eastbourne Borough | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 59:90 | 36 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
