Sport Picks
Chesham vs Slough Town
England
National League South 2025/2026 The Meadow, Chesham 
Match Events
9'
9'
Lafleur A.
47'
47'
Bennetts J.
49'
49'
Weiss M.
AI Match Summary
Chesham in this National League South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chesham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chesham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Chesham have won more games recently than Slough Town.
- Model gives Chesham a 57% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Chesham Clean Sheet 20%
Slough Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chesham | Slough Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 2.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2026 National League South
Chesham vs Slough Town
4:1
Dec 30, 2025 National League South
Slough Town vs Chesham
3:0
Apr 21, 2025 National League South
Chesham vs Slough Town
2:3
Dec 26, 2024 National League South
Slough Town vs Chesham
1:1
Apr 2, 2018 Southern Premier League
Slough Town vs Chesham
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chesham Compare
Top Goalscorer Weiss M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Lafleur A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Slough Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Clarke T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chesham 85 / 100
Slough Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chesham Slough Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chesham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Slough Town conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Chesham scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Away concern: Slough Town has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Chesham VS Slough Town
2.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Chesham
(Home) 26 Sept
Chesham
0 : 4 Maidenhead
19 Sept
Chesham
7 : 2 Ware
12 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 4 Chesham
08 Sept
Chesham
1 : 2 Billericay
05 Sept
Truro
3 : 1 Chesham
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Chesham
0 : 4 Maidenhead
19 Sept
Chesham
7 : 2 Ware
08 Sept
Chesham
1 : 2 Billericay
31 Aug
Chesham
2 : 2 Dover Ath.
22 Aug
Chesham
2 : 0 Walton & Hersham
Page 1 of 3
Slough Town
(Away) 26 Sept
Slough Town
0 : 2 Hemel Hempstead
19 Sept
Slough Town
0 : 1 Chatham
12 Sept
AFC Totton
0 : 1 Slough Town
08 Sept
Salisbury
5 : 1 Slough Town
05 Sept
Slough Town
1 : 2 Braintree
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
AFC Totton
0 : 1 Slough Town
08 Sept
Salisbury
5 : 1 Slough Town
31 Aug
Dagenham & Red.
1 : 0 Slough Town
22 Aug
Hampton & Richmond
5 : 3 Slough Town
15 Aug
Dover Ath.
5 : 3 Slough Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Worthing FC | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 99:52 | 84 |
| 2 | Hornchurch | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 81:64 | 81 |
| 3 | Torquay | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 87:62 | 80 |
| 4 | Dorking Wanderers | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 78:61 | 79 |
| 5 | Hemel Hempstead | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 55:48 | 79 |
| 6 | Weston-super-Mare | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 61:48 | 78 |
| 7 | Maidenhead | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 66:41 | 77 |
| 8 | Maidstone | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 72:50 | 77 |
| 9 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 73:54 | 77 |
| 10 | Chelmsford | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 73:62 | 73 |
| 11 | Chesham | 46 | 21 | 9 | 16 | 68:55 | 72 |
| 12 | AFC Totton | 46 | 20 | 6 | 20 | 60:79 | 66 |
| 13 | Dagenham & Red. | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 61:62 | 64 |
| 14 | Tonbridge | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 66:65 | 60 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 53:54 | 59 |
| 16 | Slough Town | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 69:87 | 54 |
| 17 | Salisbury | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 50:65 | 53 |
| 18 | Hampton & Richmond | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 56:72 | 53 |
| 19 | Farnborough | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 72:92 | 53 |
| 20 | Dover Ath. | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 60:75 | 50 |
| 21 | Bath City | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 50:77 | 43 |
| 22 | Chippenham Town | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 53:80 | 42 |
| 23 | Enfield Town | 46 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 55:82 | 40 |
| 24 | Eastbourne Borough | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 59:90 | 36 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
