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Cheshunt vs Lewes

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
da Silva R.
59' Event
Wood T.
85' Event
Granville S.

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division game between Cheshunt and Lewes finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cheshunt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cheshunt
20%
Draws
40%
Lewes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Lewes haven't matched Cheshunt's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Cheshunt Clean Sheet 13%
Lewes Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cheshunt Lewes
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.3 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Cheshunt vs Lewes
3:1
Feb 21, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Cheshunt vs Lewes
0:0
Oct 28, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Cheshunt
2:1
Apr 12, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Cheshunt vs Lewes
1:2
Jan 4, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Cheshunt
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cheshunt Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wood T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Lewes Compare

Top Goalscorer Richardson M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cheshunt 31 / 100
Lewes 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cheshunt Lewes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lewes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cheshunt scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Lewes conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Lewes has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cheshunt VS Lewes
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cheshunt

(Home)
19 Sept
Cheshunt
3 : 1
Lewes
15 Sept
Welling
2 : 0
Cheshunt
12 Sept
Eastbourne Borough
3 : 0
Cheshunt
04 Sept
Aveley
4 : 2
Cheshunt
31 Aug
Cheshunt
1 : 1
St. Albans
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Lewes

(Away)
19 Sept
Cheshunt
3 : 1
Lewes
15 Sept
Lewes
3 : 0
Carshalton
12 Sept
Chatham
3 : 2
Lewes
08 Sept
Cray Wanderers
1 : 0
Lewes
05 Sept
Lewes
2 : 2
Cray Wanderers
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Enfield Town 8 6 0 2 23:11 18
2 Welling 8 6 0 2 18:9 18
3 Dartford 8 6 0 2 13:8 18
4 Carshalton 9 6 0 3 15:13 18
5 Lewes 9 5 1 3 14:11 16
6 Leatherhead 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
7 St. Albans 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
8 Ramsgate 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
9 Dulwich Hamlet 7 4 1 2 16:9 13
10 Eastbourne Borough 8 4 1 3 14:11 13
11 Chatham 8 4 0 4 16:13 12
12 Wingate & Finchley 8 3 2 3 13:18 11
13 Aveley 8 3 1 4 16:14 10
14 Burgess Hill 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
15 Cray Wanderers 7 2 3 2 13:11 9
16 Maldon & Tiptree 8 3 0 5 12:21 9
17 Cheshunt 9 1 5 3 7:12 8
18 Brentwood 8 2 0 6 13:15 6
19 Whyteleafe 8 1 3 4 10:17 6
20 Whitehawk 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
21 Three Bridges 9 1 2 6 16:28 5
22 Stanway Rovers 8 1 1 6 6:21 4
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)