Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Chester play Curzon Ashton in the FA Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chester averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. Curzon Ashton averaged 1.29 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Chester won 2, Curzon Ashton won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Chester and 0.69 for Curzon Ashton. This points to a Chester double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Chester picked up more points recently compared to Curzon Ashton.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 0.69 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chester | Curzon Ashton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 2.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chester Compare
Curzon Ashton Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chester scored in 86% of their last 28 games.
Curzon Ashton let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Chester went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Curzon Ashton lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics