Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chester vs King’s Lynn

England England

National League North Deva Stadium, Chester
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Peers T.
40' Event
Bogle-Campbell M.

AI Match Summary

Chester in this National League North matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chester.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Chester
15%
Draws
59%
King’s Lynn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: King’s Lynn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Chester have won more games recently than King’s Lynn.
  • King’s Lynn are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Chester Clean Sheet 19%
King’s Lynn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chester King’s Lynn
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.24 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 National League North
Chester vs King’s Lynn
2:0
Apr 25, 2026 National League North
Chester vs King’s Lynn
0:0
Dec 6, 2025 National League North
King’s Lynn vs Chester
0:2
Apr 26, 2025 National League North
King’s Lynn vs Chester
0:3
Dec 21, 2024 National League North
Chester vs King’s Lynn
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chester Compare

Top Goalscorer Peers T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bogle-Campbell M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

King’s Lynn Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chester 20 / 100
King’s Lynn 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chester King’s Lynn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick King’s Lynn Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chester's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

King’s Lynn has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Chester stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chester VS King’s Lynn
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chester

(Home)
19 Sept
Lower Breck
1 : 2
Chester
12 Sept
Buxton
3 : 1
Chester
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1
Merthyr Town
05 Sept
Hebburn Town
1 : 1
Chester
31 Aug
Chester
0 : 1
Morecambe
Page 1 of 6

King’s Lynn

(Away)
19 Sept
Bedford
2 : 1
King’s Lynn
12 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 0
Chorley
08 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 3
Hednesford
05 Sept
Darlington FC
0 : 2
King’s Lynn
31 Aug
King’s Lynn
3 : 1
Scarborough Athletic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 9 7 1 1 21:4 22
2 Oxford City 9 6 1 2 17:6 19
3 Macclesfield 9 5 3 1 12:6 18
4 Spalding United 9 5 2 2 13:6 17
5 Hebburn Town 9 5 2 2 15:15 17
6 South Shields 8 5 2 1 9:10 17
7 Buxton 9 5 1 3 18:14 16
8 Bedford 9 5 0 4 13:13 15
9 Chester 9 4 2 3 9:8 14
10 Morecambe 9 4 1 4 13:8 13
11 Merthyr Town 9 3 4 2 11:9 13
12 King’s Lynn 9 4 1 4 15:15 13
13 Harborough 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
14 Worksop 9 4 0 5 9:12 12
15 Scarborough Athletic 9 3 2 4 14:11 11
16 Chorley 9 3 2 4 14:16 11
17 Marine 9 3 0 6 10:11 9
18 Telford 9 2 3 4 8:10 9
19 Hednesford 9 2 3 4 13:16 9
20 Southport 9 2 2 5 11:18 8
21 Brackley 8 2 2 4 7:16 8
22 Radcliffe 9 2 0 7 8:16 6
23 Darlington FC 9 2 0 7 11:20 6
24 Spennymoor 9 1 3 5 9:19 6
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)