Sport Picks
Chester vs Merthyr Town
England
National League North Deva Stadium, Chester 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The National League North game between Chester and Merthyr Town finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merthyr Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Chester carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chester | Merthyr Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.16 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.77 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chester Compare
Merthyr Town Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Merthyr Town let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
Chester found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).
Games between these two average 2.67 goals.
Chester went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Chester
(Home)Merthyr Town
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:4 | 22 |
| 2 | Oxford City | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Macclesfield | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 4 | Spalding United | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:6 | 17 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:15 | 17 |
| 6 | South Shields | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 9:10 | 17 |
| 7 | Buxton | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18:14 | 16 |
| 8 | Bedford | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13:13 | 15 |
| 9 | Chester | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | 14 |
| 10 | Morecambe | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:8 | 13 |
| 11 | Merthyr Town | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 12 | King’s Lynn | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15:15 | 13 |
| 13 | Harborough | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 14 | Worksop | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9:12 | 12 |
| 15 | Scarborough Athletic | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:11 | 11 |
| 16 | Chorley | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:16 | 11 |
| 17 | Marine | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10:11 | 9 |
| 18 | Telford | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 19 | Hednesford | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | 9 |
| 20 | Southport | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 21 | Brackley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 22 | Radcliffe | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:16 | 6 |
| 23 | Darlington FC | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11:20 | 6 |
| 24 | Spennymoor | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | 6 |
