Sport Picks
Chesterfield vs Barnet
England
League Two SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield 
Match Events
17'
17'
Brennan D.
21'
21'
Hutton R.
29'
29'
Knowles T.
Assist: Lakin C.
AI Match Summary
The League Two game between Chesterfield and Barnet finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
35%
27%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chesterfield
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
27%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Barnet come out ahead of Chesterfield on wins alone.
- Model gives Barnet a 27% chance of winning this.
- Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Chesterfield Clean Sheet 10%
Barnet Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chesterfield | Barnet |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 2.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 League Two
Chesterfield vs Barnet
3:3
Feb 28, 2026 League Two
Barnet vs Chesterfield
1:0
Dec 13, 2025 League Two
Chesterfield vs Barnet
3:1
Feb 27, 2024 National League
Barnet vs Chesterfield
0:2
Nov 11, 2023 National League
Chesterfield vs Barnet
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chesterfield Compare
Top Goalscorer Marsh L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Randall J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Barnet Compare
Top Goalscorer Knowles T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Williams Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chesterfield 22 / 100
Barnet 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chesterfield Barnet
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Barnet Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Barnet let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Chesterfield has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Chesterfield's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Chesterfield VS Barnet
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Chesterfield
(Home) 22 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 1 Port Vale
19 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 0 York City
15 Sept
Chesterfield
5 : 3 Manchester City U21
12 Sept
Oldham
1 : 2 Chesterfield
05 Sept
Chesterfield
3 : 3 Barnet
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 1 Port Vale
19 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 0 York City
15 Sept
Chesterfield
5 : 3 Manchester City U21
05 Sept
Chesterfield
3 : 3 Barnet
01 Sept
Chesterfield
1 : 1 Gillingham
Page 1 of 4
Barnet
(Away) 19 Sept
Barnet
3 : 1 Fleetwood Town
12 Sept
Barnet
2 : 1 Accrington
05 Sept
Chesterfield
3 : 3 Barnet
01 Sept
Exeter
1 : 1 Barnet
29 Aug
Barnet
2 : 2 Cheltenham
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Chesterfield
3 : 3 Barnet
01 Sept
Exeter
1 : 1 Barnet
22 Aug
Shrewsbury
1 : 3 Barnet
08 Aug
Cambridge Utd
2 : 1 Barnet
11 Jul
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 2 Barnet
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 15 |
| 2 | Walsall | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 6 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 7 | York City | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Crewe | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 11 | Fleetwood Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 12 | Salford | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 13 | Swindon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 14 | Rotherham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 15 | Colchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 16 | Oldham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | 7 |
| 19 | Newport | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | 6 |
| 20 | Exeter | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 21 | Accrington | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:13 | 6 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
