Sport Picks
Chesterfield vs Crewe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League Two SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield 
Match Events
3'
3'
Koroma J.
Assist: Mandeville L.
5'
5'
Sub
Koroma J. In: Markanday D.
Out: Koroma J.
6'
6'
Naylor T.
Assist: Bryden F.
AI Match Summary
The League Two game between Chesterfield and Crewe finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chesterfield.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Crewe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Chesterfield come out ahead of Crewe on wins alone.
- Model gives Chesterfield a 29% chance of winning this.
- Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Chesterfield Clean Sheet 15%
Crewe Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chesterfield | Crewe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 26 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.56 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 24, 2026 League Two
Chesterfield vs Crewe
5:1
Apr 25, 2026 League Two
Chesterfield vs Crewe
2:0
Nov 22, 2025 League Two
Crewe vs Chesterfield
3:3
Sep 2, 2025 EFL Trophy
Crewe vs Chesterfield
7:1
Mar 1, 2025 League Two
Chesterfield vs Crewe
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chesterfield Compare
Top Goalscorer Koroma J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Naylor T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Crewe Compare
Top Goalscorer McNeill C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chesterfield 84 / 100
Crewe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chesterfield Crewe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chesterfield Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 5.20 goals.
Attacking prowess: Chesterfield scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.
Defensive concern: Crewe conceded in 73% of 26 recent games.
Chesterfield has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Chesterfield VS Crewe
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Chesterfield
(Home) 30 Oct
Newport
4 : 1 Chesterfield
24 Oct
Chesterfield
5 : 1 Crewe
20 Oct
Chesterfield
1 : 1 Colchester
17 Oct
Port Vale
1 : 0 Chesterfield
10 Oct
Crawley Town
2 : 2 Chesterfield
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Chesterfield
5 : 1 Crewe
20 Oct
Chesterfield
1 : 1 Colchester
03 Oct
Chesterfield
4 : 2 Tranmere
22 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 1 Port Vale
19 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 0 York City
Page 1 of 3
Crewe
(Away) 31 Oct
Crewe
1 : 1 Barnet
24 Oct
Chesterfield
5 : 1 Crewe
20 Oct
Exeter
2 : 0 Crewe
17 Oct
Crewe
3 : 2 Rochdale
10 Oct
Swindon
0 : 1 Crewe
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Chesterfield
5 : 1 Crewe
20 Oct
Exeter
2 : 0 Crewe
10 Oct
Swindon
0 : 1 Crewe
06 Oct
Blackpool
3 : 2 Crewe
26 Sept
Rotherham
1 : 1 Crewe
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 | York City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 | Oldham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 | Northampton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
