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Chesterfield vs Manchester City U21

England England

EFL Trophy SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield
Chesterfield Logo

Chesterfield

Tue, Sep 15, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Manchester City U21 Logo

Manchester City U21

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Chesterfield have averaged 1.24 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Manchester City U21's 2.89 scored and 1.29 conceded. Head-to-head, Chesterfield have won 2 to Manchester City U21's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 20, 2024, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 0.96 vs 1.57, favoring Manchester City U21. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Chesterfield
20%
Draws
51%
Manchester City U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Manchester City U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Manchester City U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Manchester City U21 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Manchester City U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Chesterfield, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Chesterfield Clean Sheet 14%
Manchester City U21 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chesterfield Manchester City U21
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 17
Draws 10 3
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.24 2.89
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2024 EFL Trophy
Chesterfield vs Manchester City U21
2:1
Nov 29, 2017 EFL Trophy
Chesterfield vs Manchester City U21
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chesterfield 23 / 100
Manchester City U21 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chesterfield Manchester City U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manchester City U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Chesterfield scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Manchester City U21 let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Chesterfield went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chesterfield VS Manchester City U21
0.63 Goals Scored 2.14
1 Goals Conceded 1.29
38% Over 1.5 71%
25% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Chesterfield

(Home)
05 Sept
Chesterfield
3 : 3
Barnet
01 Sept
Chesterfield
1 : 1
Gillingham
29 Aug
Rotherham
2 : 1
Chesterfield
22 Aug
Salford
0 : 1
Chesterfield
15 Aug
Chesterfield
0 : 1
Fleetwood Town
Page 1 of 6

Manchester City U21

(Away)
28 Aug
Nottingham U21
2 : 1
Manchester City U21
24 Aug
Manchester City U21
4 : 0
Wolves U21
19 Aug
Mansfield
1 : 4
Manchester City U21
08 May
Manchester City U21
3 : 4
Manchester United U21
01 May
Aston Villa U21
2 : 3
Manchester City U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Wed 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Accrington 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Salford 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Sunderland U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 Blackpool 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Crewe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Aston Villa U21 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bradford City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Rotherham 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 York City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Newcastle Utd U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U21 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Port Vale 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Chesterfield 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mansfield 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stockport County 1 1 0 0 6:3 3
2 Tranmere 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Shrewsbury 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Everton U21 1 0 0 1 3:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grimsby 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Notts County 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Burton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Nottingham U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnsley 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Oldham 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Fleetwood Town 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Leeds U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rochdale 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Doncaster 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Huddersfield 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Liverpool U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cheltenham 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Exeter 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Oxford Utd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Tottenham U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leicester 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Walsall 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Stevenage 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Fulham U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U21 1 1 0 0 2:2 2
2 Reading 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
3 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 2:2 1
4 Wycombe 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colchester 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Luton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Peterborough 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Ipswich U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Swindon 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Newport 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Crystal Palace U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnet 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
2 Leyton Orient 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
3 AFC Wimbledon 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
4 Arsenal U21 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brighton U21 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Gillingham 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Cambridge Utd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Northampton 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Milton Keynes Dons 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Crawley Town 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Bromley 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Brentford U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)