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Chesterfield vs Yeovil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

FA Cup SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield

Yeovil

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FA Cup. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Chesterfield at 1.52 goals for, 1.21 against; Yeovil at 2 for, 1.54 against. Head-to-head, Chesterfield have won 3 to Yeovil's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 11, 2023, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.63 - 2.31) back Chesterfield to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Chesterfield

30%

Draws

41%

Yeovil

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Yeovil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Chesterfield lately — more wins on the board than Yeovil.
36% — that's where the model lands on Chesterfield taking it.
Chesterfield have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Chesterfield, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%

Chesterfield Clean Sheet 10%

Yeovil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chesterfield	Yeovil
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	12	11
Draws	9	8
Losses	8	9
Goals Scored	1.52	2
Goals Conceded	1.21	1.54
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2023 National League

Chesterfield vs Yeovil

1:1

Sep 17, 2022 National League

Yeovil vs Chesterfield

2:2

Feb 26, 2022 National League

Chesterfield vs Yeovil

1:0

Sep 18, 2021 National League

Yeovil vs Chesterfield

0:2

Mar 6, 2021 National League

Chesterfield vs Yeovil

3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chesterfield 34 / 100

Yeovil 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chesterfield Yeovil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chesterfield found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Yeovil has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Chesterfield stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chesterfield VS Yeovil

2.13 Goals Scored 3.38

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Chesterfield

(Home)

30 Oct

Newport

4 : 1

Chesterfield

24 Oct

Chesterfield

5 : 1

Crewe

20 Oct

Chesterfield

1 : 1

Colchester

17 Oct

Port Vale

1 : 0

Chesterfield

10 Oct

Crawley Town

2 : 2

Chesterfield

Page 1 of 6

Yeovil

(Away)

31 Oct

Halifax

2 : 0

Yeovil

27 Oct

Hornchurch

1 : 2

Yeovil

24 Oct

Yeovil

1 : 2

Altrincham

20 Oct

Yeovil

5 : 2

Leatherhead

17 Oct

Leatherhead

3 : 3

Yeovil

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Tournament Bracket & Draw

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Chesterfield vs Yeovil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

Chesterfield

Yeovil

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Chesterfield

Yeovil

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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