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Chhaygaon vs Nongkseh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

India India

I-League 3
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chhaygaon host Nongkseh in the I-League 3. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Nongkseh have shipped 1.33 goals a game lately, while Chhaygaon have conceded 2.63 and scored 1.75. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.15 - 2.09) back Nongkseh to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Chhaygaon
25%
Draws
65%
Nongkseh
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Nongkseh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chhaygaon come out ahead of Nongkseh on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Nongkseh's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 51.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Chhaygaon Clean Sheet 10%
Nongkseh Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chhaygaon Nongkseh
Matches Played 8 3
Wins 2 1
Draws 1 1
Losses 5 1
Goals Scored 1.75 3
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 2.09
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chhaygaon 10 / 100
Nongkseh 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chhaygaon Nongkseh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nongkseh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chhaygaon found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (8 games).

Defensive concern: Nongkseh conceded in 67% of 3 recent games.

Chhaygaon went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Nongkseh registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chhaygaon VS Nongkseh
1.5 Goals Scored 1.8
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.8
75% Over 1.5 60%
63% Over 2.5 40%
63% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Chhaygaon

(Home)
24 May
TRAU FC
2 : 2
Chhaygaon
22 May
Baghpat
4 : 2
Chhaygaon
20 May
Chhaygaon
1 : 7
Sunrise Club
18 May
Chhaygaon
1 : 3
KLASA
16 May
Raengdai
4 : 2
Chhaygaon
Page 1 of 2

Nongkseh

(Away)
11 Aug
Nongkseh
7 : 0
Mumbay FC
06 Aug
Nongkseh
2 : 2
Langsning
31 Jul
Lajong
2 : 0
Nongkseh

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Garhwal Heroes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Corbett 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Techtro Swades 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Ghaziabad 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Sher-e-Punjab 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - I-League 3 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lakecity 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Kuppuraj 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Chhaygaon 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Godavari 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Nongkseh 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - I-League 3 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kickstart 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Zinc FA 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 CD Salgaocar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 R.T Boys 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 GOG FCC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - I-League 3 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 NEROCA 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 TRAU FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 KLASA 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 SSU 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - I-League 3 (Promotion Group)