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Chiangmai FC vs Chainat Hornbill

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Chitchanok
89' Event
Chitchanok

AI Match Summary

Chiangmai FC host Chainat Hornbill in the Thai League 2 2023/2024. This one's hard to separate. Chiangmai FC have averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded recently, against Chainat Hornbill's 1.5 scored and 1.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Chiangmai FC have won 2 to Chainat Hornbill's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 21, 2024, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.54 - 1.30) back Chiangmai FC to edge this. Chiangmai FC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Chiangmai FC
22%
Draws
18%
Chainat Hornbill
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Chiangmai FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Chiangmai FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Chainat Hornbill.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Chiangmai FC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Thai League 2 2023/2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Chiangmai FC Clean Sheet 19%
Chainat Hornbill Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiangmai FC Chainat Hornbill
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Thai League 2
Chiangmai FC vs Chainat Hornbill
2:0
Dec 23, 2023 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Chiangmai FC
2:2
Apr 1, 2023 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Chiangmai FC
1:0
Nov 26, 2022 Thai League 2
Chiangmai FC vs Chainat Hornbill
2:1
Mar 5, 2022 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Chiangmai FC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chiangmai FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Chitchanok
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Chainat Hornbill Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiangmai FC 58 / 100
Chainat Hornbill 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiangmai FC Chainat Hornbill

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chiangmai FC scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Chainat Hornbill let in goals in 86% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Chiangmai FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Chainat Hornbill lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chainat Hornbill
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nakhon Ratchasima FC342110364:2773
2Nong Bua Pitchaya34226680:3972
3Rayong FC341612662:3460
4Chiangmai FC34178955:3459
5Nakhon Si United341611760:4059
6Ayutthaya United34169952:3657
7Pattaya United341510945:3655
8Lampang F.C.341591050:4154
9Chiangmai United341213952:4149
10Suphanburi FC341271536:4143
11Phrae United341171637:5340
12Chanthaburi349131244:4440
13Kanchanaburi341081643:5238
14Chainat Hornbill349101532:4637
15Samut Prakan City348111539:5735
16Kasetsart34642431:8422
17Customs Utd34492126:6321
18Krabi343112023:6320