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Chiangmai United vs Customs Utd Prediction & H2H Stats

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Sukunee P.
90' Event
Thanasasipat T.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Chiangmai United in this Thai League 2 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chiangmai United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Chiangmai United
15%
Draws
21%
Customs Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chiangmai United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Chiangmai United have won more games recently than Customs Utd.
  • Win probability leans Chiangmai United's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Chiangmai United Clean Sheet 16%
Customs Utd Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiangmai United Customs Utd
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 16 4
Draws 2 7
Losses 20 19
Goals Scored 1.58 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 Thai League 2
Chiangmai United vs Customs Utd
2:0
Aug 13, 2023 Thai League 2
Customs Utd vs Chiangmai United
1:3
May 12, 2023 Thai League 2
Customs Utd vs Chiangmai United
1:0
May 7, 2023 Thai League 2
Chiangmai United vs Customs Utd
2:1
Apr 1, 2023 Thai League 2
Chiangmai United vs Customs Utd
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chiangmai United Compare

Top Goalscorer Sukunee P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Customs Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiangmai United 84 / 100
Customs Utd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiangmai United Customs Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chiangmai United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Customs Utd has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Chiangmai United found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (38 games).

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Chiangmai United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chiangmai United VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiangmai United

(Home)
19 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 0
Chiangmai United
15 Sept
Chiangmai United
3 : 1
Khonkaen United
12 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2
Chiangmai United
05 Sept
Chiangmai United
0 : 1
Pattaya United
25 Apr
Kasetsart
3 : 4
Chiangmai United
Page 1 of 8

Customs Utd

(Away)
28 Dec
Customs Utd
2 : 3
Sukhothai
21 Dec
Customs Utd
1 : 5
Buriram United F.C.
29 Oct
Customs Utd
3 : 0
Nonthaburi United
27 Apr
Chiangmai United
2 : 0
Customs Utd
19 Apr
Suphanburi FC
1 : 0
Customs Utd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 34 21 10 3 64:27 73
2 Nong Bua Pitchaya 34 22 6 6 80:39 72
3 Rayong FC 34 16 12 6 62:34 60
4 Chiangmai FC 34 17 8 9 55:34 59
5 Nakhon Si United 34 16 11 7 60:40 59
6 Ayutthaya United 34 16 9 9 52:36 57
7 Pattaya United 34 15 10 9 45:36 55
8 Lampang F.C. 34 15 9 10 50:41 54
9 Chiangmai United 34 12 13 9 52:41 49
10 Suphanburi FC 34 12 7 15 36:41 43
11 Phrae United 34 11 7 16 37:53 40
12 Chanthaburi 34 9 13 12 44:44 40
13 Kanchanaburi 34 10 8 16 43:52 38
14 Chainat Hornbill 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
15 Samut Prakan City 34 8 11 15 39:57 35
16 Kasetsart 34 6 4 24 31:84 22
17 Customs Utd 34 4 9 21 26:63 21
18 Krabi 34 3 11 20 23:63 20
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