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Chiangmai United vs Kasetsart - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 700th Anniversary Stadium, Chiang Mai
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chiangmai United host Kasetsart in the Thai League 2. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Chiangmai United at 1.63 goals for, 1.74 against; Kasetsart at 1.15 for, 1.3 against. Past meetings favor Chiangmai United slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 3:4. xG projections (1.75 - 1.19) back Chiangmai United to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Chiangmai United
15%
Draws
8%
Kasetsart
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chiangmai United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Chiangmai United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Chiangmai United are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Chiangmai United Clean Sheet 20%
Kasetsart Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiangmai United Kasetsart
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 11 7
Draws 0 8
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Thai League 2
Kasetsart vs Chiangmai United
3:4
Aug 17, 2025 Thai League 2
Chiangmai United vs Kasetsart
1:1
Feb 21, 2025 Thai League 2
Kasetsart vs Chiangmai United
2:0
Oct 25, 2024 Thai League 2
Chiangmai United vs Kasetsart
1:1
Feb 4, 2024 Thai League 2
Chiangmai United vs Kasetsart
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiangmai United 85 / 100
Kasetsart 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiangmai United Kasetsart

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chiangmai United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Chiangmai United found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Kasetsart conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

Chiangmai United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chiangmai United VS Kasetsart
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiangmai United

(Home)
19 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 0
Chiangmai United
15 Sept
Chiangmai United
3 : 1
Khonkaen United
12 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2
Chiangmai United
05 Sept
Chiangmai United
0 : 1
Pattaya United
25 Apr
Kasetsart
3 : 4
Chiangmai United
Page 1 of 6

Kasetsart

(Away)
20 Sept
Kasetsart
0 : 0
Nakhon Pathom
17 Sept
Chanthaburi
2 : 0
Kasetsart
13 Sept
Kasetsart
0 : 2
Uttaradit FC
06 Sept
Nong Bua Pitchaya
2 : 0
Kasetsart
25 Apr
Kasetsart
3 : 4
Chiangmai United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Khonkaen United 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Uttaradit FC 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
3 Muang Loei Utd 4 2 1 1 6:2 7
4 Nong Bua Pitchaya 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
5 Chainat Hornbill 4 2 1 1 5:5 7
6 Muang Thong Utd 4 2 1 1 3:4 7
7 Satun FC 4 2 0 2 11:9 6
8 Kanchanaburi 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
9 Chiangmai United 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
10 Police Tero 4 2 0 2 4:5 6
11 Songkhla 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
12 Chanthaburi 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
13 Nakhon Pathom 4 0 4 0 3:3 4
14 Phrae United 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
15 Pattaya United 4 1 1 2 1:6 4
16 Mahasarakham 4 0 3 1 3:6 3
17 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
18 Kasetsart 4 0 1 3 0:6 1
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