Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chiangrai Utd vs Chonburi

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 Leo Chiangrai Stadium, Chiang Rai
Sat, Sep 5, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chiangrai Utd host Chonburi in the Thai League 1. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Chiangrai Utd at 1.38 goals for, 0.75 against; Chonburi at 1.63 for, 1.88 against. Past meetings favor Chonburi slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.19) point toward Chonburi. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Chiangrai Utd
33%
Draws
27%
Chonburi
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Chiangrai Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chonburi lately — more wins on the board than Chiangrai Utd.
  • Chiangrai Utd are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Chiangrai Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Chonburi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiangrai Utd Chonburi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 11 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Chonburi
1:3
Oct 19, 2025 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Chiangrai Utd
1:1
Apr 3, 2024 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Chiangrai Utd
2:0
Oct 28, 2023 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Chonburi
1:1
Apr 9, 2023 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Chiangrai Utd
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiangrai Utd 40 / 100
Chonburi 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiangrai Utd Chonburi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chiangrai Utd's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Chonburi has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Chiangrai Utd has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Chiangrai Utd VS Chonburi
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiangrai Utd

(Home)
10 May
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Uthai Thani
03 May
Lamphun Warrior
0 : 0
Chiangrai Utd
29 Apr
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Ratchaburi
25 Apr
Chiangrai Utd
2 : 0
Bangkok Utd
11 Apr
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 1
Sukhothai
Page 1 of 6

Chonburi

(Away)
10 May
Chonburi
2 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
02 May
Kanchanaburi
2 : 2
Chonburi
26 Apr
Chonburi
0 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
18 Apr
Prachuap
2 : 0
Chonburi
08 Apr
Chonburi
3 : 4
Port MTI FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Buriram United F.C.00000:00
2Pathum United00000:00
3Bangkok Utd00000:00
4Chonburi00000:00
5Port MTI FC00000:00
6Chiangrai Utd00000:00
7Ratchaburi00000:00
8Ayutthaya United00000:00
9Prachuap00000:00
10Sukhothai00000:00
11Lamphun Warrior00000:00
12Pattani00000:00
13Uthai Thani00000:00
14Rayong FC00000:00
15Rasisalai United00000:00
16Sisaket United00000:00
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)