Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chiangrai Utd vs Ratchaburi

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 Leo Chiangrai Stadium, Chiang Rai
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chiangrai Utd host Ratchaburi in the Thai League 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Chiangrai Utd at 1.83 goals for, 1.23 against; Ratchaburi at 2.03 for, 1.31 against. Past meetings favor Ratchaburi slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 29, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.88, favoring Ratchaburi. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Chiangrai Utd
30%
Draws
33%
Ratchaburi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chiangrai Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Chiangrai Utd haven't matched Ratchaburi's recent run of results.
  • Ratchaburi are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Chiangrai Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Ratchaburi Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiangrai Utd Ratchaburi
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 17
Draws 10 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.83 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Ratchaburi
1:0
Dec 24, 2025 Thai League 1
Ratchaburi vs Chiangrai Utd
1:2
Apr 15, 2025 League Cup
Chiangrai Utd vs Ratchaburi
1:2
Mar 2, 2025 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Ratchaburi
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 Thai League 1
Ratchaburi vs Chiangrai Utd
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiangrai Utd 26 / 100
Ratchaburi 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiangrai Utd Ratchaburi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ratchaburi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chiangrai Utd scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Ratchaburi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Chiangrai Utd remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chiangrai Utd VS Ratchaburi
1 Goals Scored 3.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiangrai Utd

(Home)
19 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
0 : 1
Sisaket United
11 Sept
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1
Chiangrai Utd
05 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Chonburi
10 May
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Uthai Thani
03 May
Lamphun Warrior
0 : 0
Chiangrai Utd
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Ratchaburi

(Away)
20 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Ratchaburi
15 Sept
Ratchaburi
4 : 6
Shanghai Port
11 Sept
Ratchaburi
1 : 0
Bangkok Utd
06 Sept
Ayutthaya United
2 : 1
Ratchaburi
29 Aug
Ratchaburi
5 : 0
Bangkok FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Rayong FC 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Uthai Thani 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
4 Prachuap 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
5 Bangkok Utd 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
6 Port MTI FC 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
7 Ayutthaya United 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
8 Pathum United 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
9 Ratchaburi 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Chiangrai Utd 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
11 Pattani 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
12 Sukhothai 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
13 Sisaket United 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
14 Rasisalai United 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
15 Lamphun Warrior 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
16 Chonburi 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)