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Chiasso vs Bruhl SG

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2022/2023 Stadio Comunale Riva IV, Chiasso
Sat, May 6, 2023
VS
03:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chiasso host Bruhl SG in the Promotion League 2022/2023. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Bruhl SG have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Chiasso have conceded 0.92 and scored 1.46. Past meetings favor Chiasso slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 6, 2023, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.35 xG vs 1.93) point toward Chiasso. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Chiasso
20%
Draws
40%
Bruhl SG
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bruhl SG lately — more wins on the board than Chiasso.
  • Win probability leans Bruhl SG's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Chiasso Clean Sheet 10%
Bruhl SG Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiasso Bruhl SG
Matches Played 13 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 1 5
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.46 2.4
Goals Conceded 0.92 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2023 Promotion League
Chiasso vs Bruhl SG
0:0
Oct 29, 2022 Promotion League
Bruhl SG vs Chiasso
0:2
Apr 6, 2022 Promotion League
Bruhl SG vs Chiasso
1:1
Oct 16, 2021 Promotion League
Chiasso vs Bruhl SG
1:1
Aug 12, 2017 Swiss Cup
Bruhl SG vs Chiasso
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiasso 26 / 100
Bruhl SG 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiasso Bruhl SG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bruhl SG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chiasso scored in 85% of their last 13 outings.

Defensive concern: Bruhl SG conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Chiasso went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bruhl SG
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiasso

(Home)
02 Aug
Varesina
2 : 2
Chiasso
26 Nov
Chiasso
2 : 0
Bulle
19 Nov
Chiasso
2 : 1
Breitenrain
12 Nov
Etoile-Carouge
3 : 1
Chiasso
05 Nov
Chiasso
0 : 2
Bavois
Page 1 of 3

Bruhl SG

(Away)
05 Sept
Basel II
3 : 0
Bruhl SG
29 Aug
Bruhl SG
4 : 1
Amical Saint-Prex
22 Aug
Bavois
0 : 0
Bruhl SG
19 Aug
Bruhl SG
0 : 1
Biel
14 Aug
Wiesendangen
0 : 6
Bruhl SG
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luzern II 34 24 4 6 95:53 74
2 Stade Nyonnais 34 21 5 8 83:45 66
3 Baden 34 18 6 10 61:48 58
4 Cham 34 17 5 12 60:47 54
5 Rapperswil-Jona 34 17 5 12 59:54 54
6 Etoile-Carouge 34 15 9 10 63:38 52
7 Bruhl SG 34 14 12 8 59:45 52
8 Breitenrain 34 15 8 11 57:57 51
9 Basel II 34 12 10 12 53:57 44
10 Kriens 34 13 6 15 53:58 43
11 Young Boys II 34 11 8 15 64:67 39
12 Zurich II 34 11 7 16 53:56 38
13 Bulle 34 11 6 17 49:57 37
14 Bavois 34 10 9 15 45:65 37
15 St. Gallen II 34 9 7 18 57:86 32
16 Biel 34 6 10 18 32:60 26
17 Young Fellows Juventus 34 4 5 25 27:77 15
18 Chiasso 34 0 34 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Challenge League 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League 2022/2023 (Relegation)