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Chiasso vs Cham

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2022/2023 Stadio Comunale Riva IV, Chiasso
Sat, Mar 25, 2023
VS
04:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chiasso host Cham in the Promotion League 2022/2023. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Chiasso at 1.46 goals for, 0.92 against; Cham at 1.5 for, 1.63 against. Head-to-head, Chiasso have won 4 to Cham's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 25, 2023, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.48 - 1.55) back Chiasso to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Chiasso
20%
Draws
47%
Cham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Chiasso haven't matched Cham's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Promotion League 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Chiasso here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Chiasso Clean Sheet 15%
Cham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiasso Cham
Matches Played 13 32
Wins 8 12
Draws 1 8
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.46 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.92 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2023 Promotion League
Chiasso vs Cham
0:0
Sep 17, 2022 Promotion League
Cham vs Chiasso
0:1
Apr 16, 2022 Promotion League
Cham vs Chiasso
2:4
Oct 31, 2021 Promotion League
Chiasso vs Cham
3:0
Apr 20, 2008 Challenge League
Cham vs Chiasso
3:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiasso 31 / 100
Cham 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiasso Cham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chiasso found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (13 games).

Cham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Chiasso has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cham
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiasso

(Home)
02 Aug
Varesina
2 : 2
Chiasso
26 Nov
Chiasso
2 : 0
Bulle
19 Nov
Chiasso
2 : 1
Breitenrain
12 Nov
Etoile-Carouge
3 : 1
Chiasso
05 Nov
Chiasso
0 : 2
Bavois
Page 1 of 3

Cham

(Away)
29 Aug
Cham
1 : 1
Bellinzona
22 Aug
Cham
2 : 1
Grand-Saconnex
19 Aug
FC Kreuzlingen
1 : 2
Cham
16 Aug
Cham
2 : 0
Kriens
08 Aug
Cham
0 : 2
Paradiso
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luzern II 34 24 4 6 95:53 74
2 Stade Nyonnais 34 21 5 8 83:45 66
3 Baden 34 18 6 10 61:48 58
4 Cham 34 17 5 12 60:47 54
5 Rapperswil-Jona 34 17 5 12 59:54 54
6 Etoile-Carouge 34 15 9 10 63:38 52
7 Bruhl SG 34 14 12 8 59:45 52
8 Breitenrain 34 15 8 11 57:57 51
9 Basel II 34 12 10 12 53:57 44
10 Kriens 34 13 6 15 53:58 43
11 Young Boys II 34 11 8 15 64:67 39
12 Zurich II 34 11 7 16 53:56 38
13 Bulle 34 11 6 17 49:57 37
14 Bavois 34 10 9 15 45:65 37
15 St. Gallen II 34 9 7 18 57:86 32
16 Biel 34 6 10 18 32:60 26
17 Young Fellows Juventus 34 4 5 25 27:77 15
18 Chiasso 34 0 34 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Challenge League 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League 2022/2023 (Relegation)