Sport Picks
Chiasso vs Etoile-Carouge
Switzerland
Promotion League 2022/2023 Stadio Comunale Riva IV, Chiasso 
AI Match Summary
Chiasso host Etoile-Carouge in the Promotion League 2022/2023. This has Chiasso written all over it on paper. Chiasso have averaged 1.46 scored and 0.92 conceded recently, against Etoile-Carouge's 1.33 scored and 1.53 conceded. Head-to-head, Chiasso have won 2 to Etoile-Carouge's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 20, 2023, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Chiasso. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Chiasso haven't matched Etoile-Carouge's recent run of results.
- Model gives Chiasso a 41% chance of winning this.
- Regular Promotion League 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chiasso | Etoile-Carouge |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 13 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 1 | 8 |
| Losses | 4 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.92 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chiasso scored in 85% of their last 13 games.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Etoile-Carouge's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Chiasso stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Chiasso
(Home)Etoile-Carouge
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luzern II | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 95:53 | 74 |
| 2 | Stade Nyonnais | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 83:45 | 66 |
| 3 | Baden | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 61:48 | 58 |
| 4 | Cham | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 60:47 | 54 |
| 5 | Rapperswil-Jona | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 59:54 | 54 |
| 6 | Etoile-Carouge | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 63:38 | 52 |
| 7 | Bruhl SG | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 59:45 | 52 |
| 8 | Breitenrain | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 57:57 | 51 |
| 9 | Basel II | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 10 | Kriens | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 53:58 | 43 |
| 11 | Young Boys II | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 64:67 | 39 |
| 12 | Zurich II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 53:56 | 38 |
| 13 | Bulle | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49:57 | 37 |
| 14 | Bavois | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 45:65 | 37 |
| 15 | St. Gallen II | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 57:86 | 32 |
| 16 | Biel | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 32:60 | 26 |
| 17 | Young Fellows Juventus | 34 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 27:77 | 15 |
| 18 | Chiasso | 34 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
