Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chiasso vs Young Fellows Juventus

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2022/2023 Stadio Comunale Riva IV, Chiasso
Sat, Apr 15, 2023
VS
03:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chiasso host Young Fellows Juventus in the Promotion League 2022/2023. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Chiasso have averaged 1.46 scored and 0.92 conceded recently, against Young Fellows Juventus's 2.06 scored and 1.29 conceded. Past meetings favor Chiasso slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 15, 2023, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.17 - 1.30) back Chiasso to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Chiasso
15%
Draws
48%
Young Fellows Juventus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Young Fellows Juventus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Young Fellows Juventus lately — more wins on the board than Chiasso.
  • Model gives Young Fellows Juventus a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Chiasso here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Chiasso Clean Sheet 19%
Young Fellows Juventus Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiasso Young Fellows Juventus
Matches Played 13 31
Wins 8 19
Draws 1 2
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.46 2.06
Goals Conceded 0.92 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2023 Promotion League
Chiasso vs Young Fellows Juventus
0:0
Oct 8, 2022 Promotion League
Young Fellows Juventus vs Chiasso
1:3
Apr 10, 2022 Promotion League
Chiasso vs Young Fellows Juventus
2:1
Oct 23, 2021 Promotion League
Young Fellows Juventus vs Chiasso
1:2
Feb 24, 2007 Challenge League
Young Fellows Juventus vs Chiasso
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiasso 28 / 100
Young Fellows Juventus 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiasso Young Fellows Juventus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Fellows Juventus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chiasso found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (13 games).

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Chiasso stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Young Fellows Juventus conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Young Fellows Juventus
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiasso

(Home)
02 Aug
Varesina
2 : 2
Chiasso
26 Nov
Chiasso
2 : 0
Bulle
19 Nov
Chiasso
2 : 1
Breitenrain
12 Nov
Etoile-Carouge
3 : 1
Chiasso
05 Nov
Chiasso
0 : 2
Bavois
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Young Fellows Juventus

(Away)
19 Sept
Paradiso
0 : 1
Young Fellows Juventus
12 Sept
Young Fellows Juventus
2 : 0
Cham
05 Sept
Schaffhausen
0 : 3
Young Fellows Juventus
29 Aug
Young Fellows Juventus
2 : 3
Basel II
22 Aug
Amical Saint-Prex
3 : 1
Young Fellows Juventus
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luzern II 34 24 4 6 95:53 74
2 Stade Nyonnais 34 21 5 8 83:45 66
3 Baden 34 18 6 10 61:48 58
4 Cham 34 17 5 12 60:47 54
5 Rapperswil-Jona 34 17 5 12 59:54 54
6 Etoile-Carouge 34 15 9 10 63:38 52
7 Bruhl SG 34 14 12 8 59:45 52
8 Breitenrain 34 15 8 11 57:57 51
9 Basel II 34 12 10 12 53:57 44
10 Kriens 34 13 6 15 53:58 43
11 Young Boys II 34 11 8 15 64:67 39
12 Zurich II 34 11 7 16 53:56 38
13 Bulle 34 11 6 17 49:57 37
14 Bavois 34 10 9 15 45:65 37
15 St. Gallen II 34 9 7 18 57:86 32
16 Biel 34 6 10 18 32:60 26
17 Young Fellows Juventus 34 4 5 25 27:77 15
18 Chiasso 34 0 34 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Challenge League 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League 2022/2023 (Relegation)