Sport Picks
Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J1 League Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba 
AI Match Summary
Chiba host Avispa Fukuoka in the J1 League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Chiba at 1.1 goals for, 1.9 against; Avispa Fukuoka at 1.28 for, 1.48 against. Past meetings favor Avispa Fukuoka slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 6, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 0.94, favoring Avispa Fukuoka. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Avispa Fukuoka come out ahead of Chiba on wins alone.
- 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chiba | Avispa Fukuoka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 20 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Avispa Fukuoka let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Chiba found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Avispa Fukuoka lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Chiba
(Home)Avispa Fukuoka
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 30:10 | 26 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21:8 | 24 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 25:10 | 23 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:11 | 22 |
| 5 | Kashiwa Reysol | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 22:17 | 22 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 23:18 | 20 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 20:23 | 18 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 10 | Okayama | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14:15 | 16 |
| 11 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | 14 |
| 12 | Nagoya Grampus | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13:17 | 13 |
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:17 | 13 |
| 14 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12:19 | 10 |
| 16 | Mito | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:16 | 9 |
| 17 | Kyoto | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:21 | 9 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12:18 | 7 |
| 19 | Chiba | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10:22 | 6 |
| 20 | Verdy | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 6:20 | 5 |
