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Chiba vs Gala

Macao Macao

Elite League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Mafus S.
58'
Mafus S.

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2025 game between Chiba and Gala finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chiba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Chiba
20%
Draws
57%
Gala
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Chiba haven't matched Gala's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Gala taking it.
  • Regular Elite League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Chiba Clean Sheet 10%
Gala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiba Gala
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 17
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2.73 2.93
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Elite League
Gala vs Chiba
3:0
Apr 4, 2026 Elite League
Chiba vs Gala
2:4
Aug 3, 2025 Elite League
Chiba vs Gala
1:0
Jun 28, 2025 Elite League
Gala vs Chiba
2:0
Mar 27, 2025 Elite League
Chiba vs Gala
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chiba Compare

Top Goalscorer Mafus S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Gala Compare

Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiba 22 / 100
Gala 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiba Gala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chiba's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Gala has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Chiba has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chiba VS Gala
2.13 Goals Scored 3.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiba

(Home)
26 Jul
Chiba
0 : 5
Must IPO
19 Jul
Chiba
6 : 0
G. Universe
11 Jul
Gala
3 : 0
Chiba
05 Jul
Chiba
1 : 1
Cheng Fung
28 Jun
Benfica
2 : 1
Chiba
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Gala

(Away)
26 Jul
Gala
0 : 7
Shao Jiang
17 Jul
Gala
2 : 2
Must IPO
11 Jul
Gala
3 : 0
Chiba
04 Jul
Gala
3 : 2
G. Universe
27 Jun
Cheng Fung
1 : 4
Gala
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