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Chiba vs Hang Sai Prediction & H2H Stats

Macao Macao

Elite League
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Emmanuel A.
90' Event
Gomes W.

AI Match Summary

The Elite League game between Chiba and Hang Sai finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chiba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Chiba
20%
Draws
51%
Hang Sai
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hang Sai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Chiba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Chiba's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Chiba have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Chiba Clean Sheet 14%
Hang Sai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiba Hang Sai
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.73 2.77
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Elite League
Hang Sai vs Chiba
1:2
Jan 30, 2026 Elite League
Chiba vs Hang Sai
2:0
Jul 12, 2025 Elite League
Hang Sai vs Chiba
0:3
Jun 1, 2025 Elite League
Chiba vs Hang Sai
1:1
Mar 6, 2025 Elite League
Chiba vs Hang Sai
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chiba Compare

Top Goalscorer Emmanuel A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomes W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Hang Sai Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiba 35 / 100
Hang Sai 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiba Hang Sai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chiba found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Hang Sai let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Chiba remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chiba VS Hang Sai
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiba

(Home)
26 Jul
Chiba
0 : 5
Must IPO
19 Jul
Chiba
6 : 0
G. Universe
11 Jul
Gala
3 : 0
Chiba
05 Jul
Chiba
1 : 1
Cheng Fung
28 Jun
Benfica
2 : 1
Chiba
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Hang Sai

(Away)
25 Jul
Benfica
4 : 5
Hang Sai
18 Jul
Artilheiros
4 : 4
Hang Sai
12 Jul
G. Universe
3 : 2
Hang Sai
05 Jul
University of Macau
1 : 7
Hang Sai
26 Jun
Hang Sai
2 : 5
Shao Jiang
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