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Chiba vs Lun Lok

Macao Macao

Elite League 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chiba in this Elite League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chiba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Chiba
15%
Draws
0%
Lun Lok
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chiba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Chiba have won more games recently than Lun Lok.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Chiba taking it.
  • Regular Elite League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • History favors Chiba here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Chiba Clean Sheet 20%
Lun Lok Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiba Lun Lok
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 4
Draws 5 2
Losses 9 24
Goals Scored 2.73 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.53 5.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2025 Elite League
Chiba vs Lun Lok
3:0
Jun 21, 2025 Elite League
Lun Lok vs Chiba
1:9
Apr 26, 2025 Elite League
Chiba vs Lun Lok
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiba 85 / 100
Lun Lok 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiba Lun Lok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chiba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chiba found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Lun Lok let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 6.33 goals as a typical output.

Lun Lok lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chiba VS Lun Lok
2.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiba

(Home)
26 Jul
Chiba
0 : 5
Must IPO
19 Jul
Chiba
6 : 0
G. Universe
11 Jul
Gala
3 : 0
Chiba
05 Jul
Chiba
1 : 1
Cheng Fung
28 Jun
Benfica
2 : 1
Chiba
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Lun Lok

(Away)
27 Jul
Chiba
3 : 0
Lun Lok
19 Jul
Hang Sai
12 : 0
Lun Lok
12 Jul
Lun Lok
1 : 2
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Lun Lok
0 : 10
Gala
21 Jun
Lun Lok
1 : 9
Chiba
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