Sport Picks

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Chiba vs Shao Jiang

Macao Macao

Elite League
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Morillo E.
89' Event
Botero J.

AI Match Summary

Shao Jiang in this Elite League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shao Jiang.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Chiba
15%
Draws
67%
Shao Jiang
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shao Jiang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shao Jiang lately — more wins on the board than Chiba.
  • Shao Jiang are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Elite League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • Shao Jiang have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Chiba Clean Sheet 10%
Shao Jiang Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiba Shao Jiang
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 26
Draws 5 2
Losses 9 2
Goals Scored 2.73 4.73
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Elite League
Shao Jiang vs Chiba
3:3
Jan 25, 2026 Elite League
Chiba vs Shao Jiang
0:2
Feb 20, 2025 Elite League
Shao Jiang vs Chiba
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chiba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Shao Jiang Compare

Top Goalscorer Morillo E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Botero J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiba 10 / 100
Shao Jiang 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiba Shao Jiang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shao Jiang Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chiba found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Shao Jiang has conceded goals in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Chiba stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chiba VS Shao Jiang
2.13 Goals Scored 5.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiba

(Home)
26 Jul
Chiba
0 : 5
Must IPO
19 Jul
Chiba
6 : 0
G. Universe
11 Jul
Gala
3 : 0
Chiba
05 Jul
Chiba
1 : 1
Cheng Fung
28 Jun
Benfica
2 : 1
Chiba
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Shao Jiang

(Away)
26 Jul
Gala
0 : 7
Shao Jiang
18 Jul
Cheng Fung
0 : 4
Shao Jiang
10 Jul
Benfica
2 : 4
Shao Jiang
03 Jul
Shao Jiang
14 : 0
Artilheiros
26 Jun
Hang Sai
2 : 5
Shao Jiang
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