Sport Picks

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Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos

Japan Japan

J1 League 2026 Fukuda Denshi Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
de Souza Junior C. A.
(Penalty)
48' Event
Tanimura K.
Assist: Watanabe K.
58' Event
Tanimura K.
Assist: Croux J.

AI Match Summary

Yokohama F. Marinos in this J1 League 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yokohama F. Marinos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Chiba
6%
Draws
90%
Yokohama F. Marinos
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Yokohama F. Marinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Yokohama F. Marinos have won more games recently than Chiba.
  • Win probability leans Yokohama F. Marinos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular J1 League 2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Chiba Clean Sheet 10%
Yokohama F. Marinos Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiba Yokohama F. Marinos
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 3 2
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 J1 League
Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos
2:3
Mar 14, 2026 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Chiba
2:0
Aug 29, 2009 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Chiba
1:1
May 23, 2009 J1 League
Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1:1
Nov 23, 2008 J1 League
Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chiba Compare

Top Goalscorer Goya H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Yokohama F. Marinos Compare

Top Goalscorer Tanimura K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Inoue T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiba 10 / 100
Yokohama F. Marinos 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiba Yokohama F. Marinos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YOK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chiba's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Yokohama F. Marinos let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Chiba has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chiba VS Yokohama F. Marinos
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima Antlers18150331:1145
2FC Tokyo18130532:1837
3Machida Zelvia18130528:2237
4Kawasaki Frontale18100826:2828
5Verdy18100822:2628
6Urawa Reds18701125:2225
7Yokohama F. Marinos18601228:3120
8Kashiwa Reysol18701122:2420
9Mito18601223:3918
10Chiba18301518:3412
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe18110729:2535
2Cerezo Osaka18110730:2131
3Nagoya Grampus18100833:3131
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima18100831:2330
5Gamba Osaka18100831:2528
6Okayama18801026:2926
7Shimizu S-Pulse18801023:2524
8Kyoto18801022:2823
9V-Varen Nagasaki18701121:2921
10Avispa Fukuoka18701121:3121