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Chicago Dutch Lions vs St. Charles

USA USA

USL League Two 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chicago Dutch Lions play St. Charles in the USL League Two 2024. St. Charles are favorites here. Recently, Chicago Dutch Lions averaged 1.18 goals scored and 2.82 conceded. St. Charles averaged 2.5 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Chicago Dutch Lions won 1, St. Charles won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 9, 2024 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Chicago Dutch Lions and 1.88 for St. Charles. This points to a St. Charles double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Chicago Dutch Lions
15%
Draws
59%
St. Charles
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Charles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Chicago Dutch Lions picked up more points recently compared to St. Charles.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 96%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Chicago Dutch Lions Clean Sheet 10%
St. Charles Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 91%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chicago Dutch Lions St. Charles
Matches Played 39 24
Wins 10 12
Draws 1 3
Losses 28 9
Goals Scored 1.18 2.5
Goals Conceded 2.82 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2024 USL League Two
Chicago Dutch Lions vs St. Charles
1:4
Jun 6, 2024 USL League Two
St. Charles vs Chicago Dutch Lions
8:1
Jul 16, 2023 USL League Two
Chicago Dutch Lions vs St. Charles
3:1
May 31, 2023 USL League Two
St. Charles vs Chicago Dutch Lions
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chicago Dutch Lions 25 / 100
St. Charles 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chicago Dutch Lions St. Charles

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Charles Win (2)
Secondary Pick St. Charles & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.5%
1.28
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chicago Dutch Lions attacking → ← attacking St. Charles

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chicago Dutch Lions scored in 59% of their last 39 games.

St. Charles let in goals in 79% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Chicago Dutch Lions went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

St. Charles lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 39
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00