Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chicago Dutch Lions vs St. Croix

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The USL League Two game between Chicago Dutch Lions and St. Croix finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Croix.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Chicago Dutch Lions
15%
Draws
42%
St. Croix
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chicago Dutch Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St. Croix come out ahead of Chicago Dutch Lions on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular USL League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and St. Croix have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Chicago Dutch Lions Clean Sheet 17%
St. Croix Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chicago Dutch Lions St. Croix
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 1 2
Losses 22 19
Goals Scored 1.27 1.57
Goals Conceded 3.17 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 USL League Two
Chicago Dutch Lions vs St. Croix
1:4
Jun 22, 2025 USL League Two
St. Croix vs Chicago Dutch Lions
2:0
Jun 1, 2025 USL League Two
St. Croix vs Chicago Dutch Lions
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chicago Dutch Lions 36 / 100
St. Croix 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chicago Dutch Lions St. Croix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Croix Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: St. Croix conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Chicago Dutch Lions's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Chicago Dutch Lions remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chicago Dutch Lions VS St. Croix
2.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chicago Dutch Lions

(Home)
11 Jul
Sueno
4 : 1
Chicago Dutch Lions
09 Jul
RKC SC
4 : 2
Chicago Dutch Lions
02 Jul
Rochester FC
0 : 4
Chicago Dutch Lions
27 Jun
Edgewater Castle
0 : 5
Chicago Dutch Lions
21 Jun
Chicago Dutch Lions
2 : 0
RKC SC
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St. Croix

(Away)
11 Jul
St. Croix
3 : 0
Rockford Raptors
09 Jul
Rochester FC
1 : 3
St. Croix
05 Jul
St. Croix
7 : 1
Edgewater Castle
01 Jul
Minneapolis City
3 : 0
St. Croix
21 Jun
Sueno
3 : 1
St. Croix
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