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Chicago Fire II vs FC Cincinnati 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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MLS Next Pro SeatGeek Stadium, Bridgeview, IL
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Match Events

8' Event
Niang C.
Assist: Gray N.
13' Event
Shokalook J.
Assist: Borso D.
19' Event
Dithejane P.
Assist: Poreba D.

AI Match Summary

Chicago Fire II in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 7-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chicago Fire II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Chicago Fire II
15%
Draws
42%
FC Cincinnati 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chicago Fire II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chicago Fire II lately — more wins on the board than FC Cincinnati 2.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
  • History favors Chicago Fire II here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Chicago Fire II Clean Sheet 10%
FC Cincinnati 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chicago Fire II FC Cincinnati 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 1 0
Losses 16 23
Goals Scored 1.87 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II vs FC Cincinnati 2
7:2
Sep 10, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II vs FC Cincinnati 2
2:1
May 9, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II vs FC Cincinnati 2
2:1
Mar 30, 2025 MLS Next Pro
FC Cincinnati 2 vs Chicago Fire II
1:2
Sep 8, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II vs FC Cincinnati 2
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chicago Fire II Compare

Top Goalscorer Shokalook J.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Dithejane P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47

FC Cincinnati 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Niang C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gray N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chicago Fire II 30 / 100
FC Cincinnati 2 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chicago Fire II FC Cincinnati 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chicago Fire II scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: FC Cincinnati 2 conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Away concern: FC Cincinnati 2 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chicago Fire II VS FC Cincinnati 2
2.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Chicago Fire II

(Home)
20 Sept
Chicago Fire II
0 : 1
Chattanooga
13 Sept
Chicago Fire II
1 : 2
Philadelphia Union II
04 Sept
Crown Legacy
4 : 0
Chicago Fire II
30 Aug
Columbus Crew 2
4 : 0
Chicago Fire II
23 Aug
Chicago Fire II
3 : 1
Inter Miami II
Page 1 of 6

FC Cincinnati 2

(Away)
20 Sept
FC Cincinnati 2
1 : 2
Crown Legacy
13 Sept
New York Red Bulls II
2 : 1
FC Cincinnati 2
04 Sept
Toronto FC II
2 : 1
FC Cincinnati 2
30 Aug
FC Cincinnati 2
2 : 3
Philadelphia Union II
22 Aug
Carolina Core
1 : 3
FC Cincinnati 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)