Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Chicago Fire play Toronto FC in the MLS. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chicago Fire averaged 2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Toronto FC averaged 1.63 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, Chicago Fire won 3, Toronto FC won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for Chicago Fire and 1.56 for Toronto FC. This points to a Chicago Fire double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Chicago Fire has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Toronto FC.
- Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Chicago Fire.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in MLS provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chicago Fire | Toronto FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 13 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 2.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chicago Fire Compare
Toronto FC Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chicago Fire scored in 90% of their last 30 games.
Toronto FC let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Chicago Fire went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Toronto FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 34:12 | 32 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 34:15 | 32 |
| 3 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26:19 | 26 |
| 4 | FC Dallas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 30:22 | 25 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24:17 | 24 |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17:11 | 24 |
| 7 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 19:23 | 22 |
| 8 | Minnesota United | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18:22 | 22 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:22 | 20 |
| 10 | San Diego FC | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 30:27 | 17 |
| 11 | Colorado Rapids | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 25:24 | 16 |
| 12 | St. Louis City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16:20 | 16 |
| 13 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22:28 | 14 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 19:31 | 14 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:36 | 11 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 31:11 | 33 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 39:28 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:32 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:23 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 36:37 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:21 | 19 |
| 9 | DC United | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21:25 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21:23 | 16 |
| 11 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22:31 | 14 |
| 12 | Orlando City | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23:44 | 14 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22:29 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:23 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18:30 | 7 |